- The Seattle Seahawks are the team to beat: According to PFF’s simulations, the Seahawks have a 19.0% chance of winning the Super Bowl.
- The Texans are right in the mix: The Houston Texans have a 15.7% chance of winning the Super Bowl and are projected to go to the Super Bowl 27% of the time.
| Team | Power Ranking | Good luck with the schedule so far | Probability of winning conference (%) | Probability of winning Super Bowl (%) |
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 20 | 40.2 | 19.0 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 1 | 24 | 34.5 | 16.5 |
| Houston Texans | 4 | 18 | 26.9 | 15.7 |
| Denver Broncos | 5 | 16 | 29.0 | 15.5 |
| Buffalo Bills | 2 | 28 | 22.8 | 13.4 |
| New England Patriots | 6 | 32 | 21.4 | 11.2 |
| Chicago bears | 15 | 6 | 12.8 | 4.5 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 9 | 26 | 12.5 | 4.3 |
Seattle Seahawks: 19% to win Super Bowl and 40% to win conference
- The Seattle Seahawks are projected to go to the Super Bowl 40% of the time.
- The Seahawks have a 19.0% chance of winning the Super Bowl.
- They are ranked third in the PFF Power Rankings.
Los Angeles Rams: 17% to win Super Bowl and 35% to win conference
- The Los Angeles Rams are the No. 1 team in the PFF Power Rankings.
- The Rams are projected to go to the Super Bowl 35% of the time.
- They have a 16.5% chance of winning the Super Bowl.
Houston Texans: 16% to win Super Bowl and 27% to win conference
- The Houston Texans have a 15.7% chance of winning the Super Bowl.
- The Texans are projected to go to the Super Bowl 27% of the time.
- They are the fourth team in the PFF Power Rankings.
Denver Broncos: 15% to win Super Bowl and 29% to win conference
- The Denver Broncos are projected to go to the Super Bowl 29% of the time.
- The Broncos have a 15.5% chance of winning the Super Bowl.
- They are the fifth-ranked team in the PFF Power Rankings.
Buffalo Bills: 13% to win the Super Bowl and 23% to win the conference
- The Buffalo Bills are the No. 2 team in the PFF Power Rankings.
- The Bills are projected to go to the Super Bowl 23% of the time.
- They have a 13.4% chance of winning the Super Bowl.
New England Patriots: 11% to win the Super Bowl and 21% to win the conference
- The New England Patriots are projected to go to the Super Bowl 21% of the time.
- The Patriots have an 11.2% chance of winning the Super Bowl.
- They are the sixth-ranked team in the PFF Power Rankings.
Chicago Bears: 5% to win the Super Bowl and 13% to win the conference
- The Chicago Bears have played the sixth toughest schedule to date (SOS value: 6).
- The Bears are projected to go to the Super Bowl 13% of the time.
- They have a 4.5% chance of winning the Super Bowl.
San Francisco 49ers: 4% to win the Super Bowl and 12% to win the conference
- The San Francisco 49ers are projected to go to the Super Bowl 12% of the time.
- The 49ers have a 4.3% chance of winning the Super Bowl.
- They are the ninth-ranked team in the PFF Power Rankings.
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