I cast about this morning and thought about what I might be able to write about when I was reminded of a recent conversation with Other Rick Regarding the state of the Penguins’s references. That matches an umbrella question that has me in mind.
Was our poor goaling a direct result of our aqueous defense (in the third most permitted goals in the competition)? Or sabotaged porous netminding (13 first shot targets against) the opportunities of the team?
A classic case of the chicken or egg seal.
Thanks to a large number of advanced statistics that are shown on BucketWe can have an answer.
First, the basis. Strictly go through the boxcars (goals against average and savings percentage), none of our three goalkeepers from last season, veterans Tristan Jarry And Alex Nedeljkovic and Rookie Joel BlomqvistVery well executed. The rankings in the following tables are outside the 66 NHL goalkeepers who appear in at least 15 games, which exclude newcomer Arthur Silov.
| Goals against average and savings percentage | ||||
| GOAL | Gaa | Rank | SV% | Rank |
| Sunday | 3.12 | 48 | .894 | 45 |
| Jarry | 3.12 | 48 | .892 | 50 |
| Blomqvist | 3.81 | 66 | .885 | 56 |
Yikes. Those are certainly some ugly figures and rankings. Especially Blomqvist’s, who, in my opinion, seemed to be surpassed in his first taste of NHL competition.
Yet it doesn’t really answer my question. Has the bad defense stimulated bad goal convening, or vice versa?
Thanks to an abundance of advanced goalkeeper statistics, Bucket Can offer an indication. I was tempted to deal with 5V5 data. However, because goalkeepers are on the ice in all situations (except, except of course, empty net), I went with total figures
I let them talk.
| Goals against versus expected goals against | ||||
| GOAL | Go | XGA | Diff. (%) | Rank |
| Sunday | 112 | 111.02 | -0.88 | 40 |
| Jarry | 105 | 100.33 | -4.65 | 46 |
| Blomqvist | 49 | 44.33 | -10.53 | 53 |
| Goals against average versus expected goals against average | ||||
| GOAL | Gaa | Xgaa | Diff. (%) | Rank |
| Sunday | 3.12 | 3.10 | -0.03 | 40 |
| Jarry | 3.12 | 2.98 | -0.14 | 46 |
| Blomqvist | 3.81 | 3.44 | -0.36 | 56 |
| Save % versus expected Save % (not -flocked shots) | ||||
| GOAL | SV% | XSV% | Diff (%) | Rank |
| Sunday | .947 | .948 | -0005 | 41 |
| Jarry | .948 | .950 | -0023 | 46 |
| Blomqvist | .939 | .945 | -0058 | 55 |
| Wins over replacement | ||
| GOAL | WAR | Rank |
| Sunday | -0.16 | 40 |
| Jarry | -0.78 | 47 |
| Blomqvist | -0.78 | 47 |
In short, anyway, the statistics, the statistics do not reflect favorably on our goalkeepers, who are consistently in the lower third (or worse) in most categories. Although it is True Hockey’s A Team Sport and the performances of goalkeepers and the players for them are complicated with each other and dependent themselves, do not automatically play a goalkeeper for a poor or average team to undertake statistics.
Igor Shesterkin (Rangers), Joey Dacord (Cracking), Ilya Sorokin (Islanders), John Gibson And Lukas got (Ducks), Karel Vejmelka (Utah), Cam Talbot And Alex Lyon (Red wings), Dustin Wolf And And Vladar (Flames), James Reimer (Sabres), Kevin Lankinen (Canucks) and especially Arvid Soderblom (Blackhawks) placed positive wars during the stern of non-playoff teams.
That seems to point the finger square to our goalkeepers as an important contribution to our general misery.
I still have not discovered whether to make them the chicken or the egg.
#Penguins #goal #congregation #chicken #egg