The betting lines for the main event of UFC 324 showed unusual stability, with Paddy Pimblett maintaining his position as favorite against Justin Gaethje from the moment the odds opened until fight night. Bookmakers price Pimblett between -210 and -239, giving him an implied chance of winning of 67 to 70 percent. Gaethje opened as an underdog from +175 to +195, with his odds of winning hovering around 33 to 36 percent.
UFC 324 odds: The market has never doubted Paddy Pimblett
Pimblett’s wrestling credentials determine the prize. Ten of his professional wins have come by submission, and oddsmakers installed him at 6/4 to 31/20 to finish Gaethje. These numbers reflect a specific liability: Gaethje’s two submission losses to Khabib Nurmagomedov and Charles Oliveira demonstrated his vulnerability when fighting broke out. Pimblett averages 1.7 submissions per 15 minutes, and his ability to create scrambles from unconventional positions makes him dangerous once the fight is over. See more songs and games at crash duel x slot.
This limited movement is notable for a championship fightespecially one that pits a former interim champion against an up-and-coming competitor. The market confidence stemmed from Pimblett’s perfect UFC record since his debut in 2021, where he posted seven straight wins. His most recent performance, a TKO victory over Michael Chandler, cemented his status as a legitimate title threat rather than a promotional project.
Gaethje’s underdog status reflects his experience, but also his recent trajectory. The 37-year-old has nine Fight of the Night awards and 20 knockout victories to his name, but his 68 percent takedown defense offers opportunities for experienced wrestlers. He enters UFC 324 coming off a knockout loss to Max Holloway UFC 300, although he bounced back with a win over Rafael Fiziev. The market appears to be weighing his age and mileage against Pimblett’s six-year youth advantage and momentum.
While Gaethje sits at 10/3 to 4/1 by knockout, Pimblett’s submission line draws more action at 6/4. Round betting shows that bookmakers expect Pimblett to find success early and often: his odds for Round 1 are 4/1, while Gaethje’s opening round knockout pays 10/1. These prices indicate that the market expects Pimblett to dictate the terms of the assignment, forcing Gaethje to defend takedowns and submission attempts instead of applying his pressure.
The stability of these odds suggests that bookmakers and keen gamblers quickly reached consensus. Unlike typical main events where the lines shift based on news of government funding or injury, the UFC 324 headliner saw minimal adjustment. This consensus reflects a shared view that Pimblett’s undefeated UFC run, combined with Gaethje’s documented submission vulnerabilities, creates a clear favorite despite the challenger facing his toughest test yet.
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