- NFC Playoff -Skanshebbers stand out: After reaching the late season in 2024, both teams opened 2025 with convincing division victories at home, each with the 1-0 season against the spread.
- Washington defensive improvements: The commanders placed a TOP-ATT PFF team defense figure (72.3) in week 1, anchored by a competition-best 88.3 Run-Defense figure, while the giants were limited to only 34 yards on 17 designed runs.
Game overview
Thursday evening football has a powerful collision between NFC opportunities, while after the dominant week, the commanders and packers squared 1 division victories with ease the spread to open the 2025 campaign.
The expectations for Washington were modest to enter Jayden Daniels’ smoking year, with a previous season win of only 6.5. But the commanders soon became a gamble darling, who start 7-1-1 against the spread before the market corrections grabbed.
Daniels looks even sharper this year and he orchestrated an attack in third place in EPA per game in week 1. With new weapons and new momentum, Washington gets a chance to browse last year’s struggles in prime-time success.
On the other hand, the Packers made their own statement in week 1, which comfortably left the ruling NFC North champion Lions from the NFC North champion. Green Bay ran 9-9 last season against the spread-including 5-4 at Lambeau-and opened 2025 and looked sharper on both sides of the ball.
The addition of Micah Parsons already influences the Packers Pass Rush. Although he was not the primary disruptor in week 1, his presence attracted attention and opened the lanes for others, so Green Bay helped a total of four bags. That is a compelling trench struggle against an offensive line in Washington, which just kept the front one to bottom figures of the Giants in both the pass-back profit (39.0%) and the pressure percentage (26.8%).
Jayden Daniels’ mobility is a factor, but this week’s test comes at a more complete and explosive front.
RB Josh Jacobs, Green Bay Packers: Less than 80.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
What was perhaps even more impressive at Washington in week 1 was the defense – a unit that consistently struggled last season only opened 2025 with a statement. The commanders achieved a TOP-Oacht PFF team defense figure (72.3), led by an NFL-Beste 88.3 degree against the run, which kept the Giants up to only 34 yards on 17 designed runs.
That front could be a big problem for the packers, who were in 27th place in EPA per Rush and 22nd in Yards before contact (0.5) per attempt in week 1. With attacking rulers Aaron Banks (ankle/lies) and Zach Tom (Schuine) missed this week, there are real concerns about the power of Green Bay.
Josh Jacobs remains a dynamic talent, but the Rushing Yardage market can be blown up. Since the beginning of 2024, Jacobs has only erased 80 Yards in 19 games – and he only succeeded in 66 in the opener.
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