NBA predictions for the first basket tonight (February 8, 2026)
| Player | Team | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | Celts | 17.7% |
| Kawhi Leonard | Hair clippers | 17.6% |
| Pascal Sakak | Pacers | 16.7% |
| Anthony Edwards | Timber wolves | 15.0% |
| Alex Sarr | Wizards | 13.8% |
| John Collins | Hair clippers | 12.4% |
| Jalen Brunson | Knicks | 12.1% |
| Norman Powell | Heat | 12.1% |
| Bam Adebayo | Heat | 12.0% |
| Julius Randle | Timber wolves | 11.7% |
| Brandon Ingram | Birds of prey | 11.7% |
| RJ Barrett | Birds of prey | 11.1% |
| Andreas Wiggins | Heat | 11.0% |
| Karl-Anthony Cities | Knicks | 10.7% |
| AND Anunoby | Knicks | 10.7% |
NBA first basket picks today (February 8, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Chances | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Huff | Pacers | 1.7% | +1300 | 8.8% |
| Justin Champagne | Wizards | 1.2% | +1200 | 8.9% |
| RJ Barrett | Birds of prey | 1.1% | +900 | 11.1% |
| Kyshawn George | Wizards | 1.0% | +950 | 10.5% |
| Kawhi Leonard | Hair clippers | 0.9% | +500 | 17.6% |
| Jaylen Brown | Celts | 0.7% | +490 | 17.7% |
| AND Anunoby | Knicks | 0.7% | +900 | 10.7% |
| Alex Sarr | Wizards | 0.5% | +650 | 13.8% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied probabilities.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays around the league, check out our complete list of NBA prop bets for 2/8.
Conclusion: Betting on the first basket of today’s NBA
For Sunday, February 8, 2026, Jaylen Brown, Kawhi Leonard, and Pascal Siakam lead our early basket projections, while Jay Huff is the strongest value play at +1300. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ NBA first basket model.
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