MMSucka Staff Picks UFC Rio: Can This Lightweight Legend Make an Exciting Comeback?

MMSucka Staff Picks UFC Rio: Can This Lightweight Legend Make an Exciting Comeback?

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Back for their 13th visit to Rio de Janeiro, the UFC offers the city its first Fight Night card in over a decade. Former lightweight champion Charles Oliveira takes on his opponent Mateusz Gamrot for the occasion. In the co-main event, former flyweight Deiveson Figueiredo takes on Montel Jackson.

UFC Rio Main Event

After a devastating first-round knockout loss to Ilia Topuria at UFC 317, Oliveira looks to jump back into the win column this weekend with a victory in his home country of Brazil. After once reigning at the top of the lightweight division with one title defense, ‘Do Bronxs’ enters the Octagon as a huge fan favorite among the native crowd.

Gamrot was last seen in action last May at UFC on ESPN 68 and recorded a stunning victory over Slovakian competitor Ľudovít Klein, who was undefeated in seven fights. Taking advantage of the biggest opportunity of his UFC tenure, “Gamer” was able to put himself on the cusp of his first title shot with a monumental victory over the legendary Brazilian.

UFC 320 co-main event

Amid a two-fight losing streak, two-time 125-pound gold standard Figueiredo is looking to regain a foothold in the immensely stacked bantamweight division after winning his first three bouts in the category. Despite recent setbacks, “Deus Da Guerra” still remains a prominent threat to everyone in the division due to his wealth of experience as a former promotion champion.

October 10, 2025, Rio De Janeiro, RJ, Brazil: Deiveson Figueiredo poses on the scale during the UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Gamrot: Ceremonial Weigh-In at Farmasi Arena on October 10, 2025 in Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil. /PxImages Rio De Janeiro Brazil – ZUMAp175 20251010_zsa_p175_061 Copyright: xLeandroxBernardesx

Jackson is the winner of six straight tilts and is coming off a phenomenal victory over the once undefeated Daniel Marcos in Iowa at UFC on ESPN 67. As he crosses the toughest test of his professional career, “Quik” could catapult himself to top contender status if he manages to topple once-flyweight royalty.

More fights on the UFC Rio Main Card

Complementing the UFC Rio main card, welterweight standout Vicente Luque takes on Joel Álvarez, who makes his debut at 170-lb for the first time. Then Jhonata Diniz and Mário Pinto collide in a fun heavyweight showdown. Ricardo Ramos also locks horns with Ultimate Fighter alum Kaan Ofli. Finally, featherweight contenders Lucas Almeida and Michael Aswell kick off the show.

October 10, 2025, Rio De Janeiro, RJ, Brazil: Vicente Luque and Joel OÂlvarez face off during the UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Gamrot: Ceremonial weigh-in at Farmasi Arena on October 10, 2025 in Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil. /PxImages Rio De Janeiro Brazil – ZUMAp175 20251010_zsa_p175_116 Copyright: xLeandroxBernardesx

UFC Rio predictions and personnel picks

MMSucka staff picks are composed of four of the world’s leading mixed martial arts organizations: the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), the Professional fighter competition (PFL), ONE championship (A FC), and Contender series by Dana White (DWCS).

  • UFC picks include main card fights ranging from four to six matchups per event.
  • PFL picks from main cards for pay-per-views as well as tournament bouts in the regular season, playoffs and finals.
  • ONE FC and DWCS picks include all of the event’s MMA fights with a minimum of three matchups.

The person who chooses the most victorious fighters by the end of 2025 will have the choice of receiving a custom-made championship belt from ProAmBelts or a detailed necklace Championship chains. The 2023 personnel picks were won by Ben Jamieson with a record of 300-148.

Find our UFC Rio picks and fight odds below.

Personnel data after DWCS 85:

  1. Hank Strandberg: 167-94
  2. Drew Zuhosky: 128-133
  3. Frazer Krohn: 124-80
  4. Jeremy Brand: 123-88
  5. Andreas Benjamin: 32-90

*Note: not all employees choose every event*


Michael Aswell-152

vs

Lucas Almeida +132

FEATHERWEIGHT

Henk Strandberg: Also by knockout in the second round
Drew Zuhosky: Also by unanimous decision
Frazer Krohn: Also by knockout in the second round

Choosing personnel Also: 3

Personnel selection Almeida: 0


Ricardo Ramos-200

vs

Others offer +170

FEATHERWEIGHT

Henk Strandberg: Ramos by unanimous decision
Drew Zuhosky: Ramos by unanimous decision
Frazer Kron: Ramos by unanimous decision

Staff picks Ramos: 3

Personnel choice Ofli: 0


Jhonata Diniz -142

vs

Mario Pinto +122

HEAVYWEIGHT

Henk Strandberg: Diniz by knockout in the second round
Drew Zuhosky: Pinto by first round submission
Frazer Kron: Diniz by knockout in the first round

Personnel choice Diniz: 2

Personnel picking Pinto: 1


Joël Álvarez -600

vs

Vicente Luque +450

WELTER WEIGHT

Henk Strandberg: Álvarez by knockout in the first round
Drew Zuhosky: Luque by unanimous decision
Frazer Krohn: Álvarez by submission in the second round

Choosing personnel Alvarez: 2

Personnel picking Luque: 1


Montel Jackson-325

vs

Deiveson Figueiredo +275

BANTAM WEIGHT

Henk Strandberg: Figueiredo by unanimous decision
Drew Zuhosky: Figueiredo by unanimous decision
Frazer Krohn: Figueiredo by unanimous decision

Choosing personnel Jackson: 0

Staff picks Figueiredo: 3


Charles Oliveira -105

vs

Mateusz Gamrot +115

LIGHTWEIGHT

Jeremy brand:
Henk Strandberg: Gamrot by unanimous decision
Drew Zuhosky: Gamrot by first round submission
Frazer Kron: Gamrot by unanimous decision

Personnel picking Oliveira: 0

Staff picking Gamrot: 3

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