UFC 320 brings championship campaign to Las Vegas on October 4, 2025, because Bantamweight is trying his third title defense against challenger Cory Sandhagen champion Merab Dvalishvili. The Georgian champion comes as a heavy gambling favorite with opportunities ranging from -380 to -410, while Sandhagen is like the underdog at +300 to +320.
Retend Opportunities Movement
The opportunities have been shifted in favor of the champion since the game was announced. The first gambling lines opened with DvalishVili at -335 and Sandhagen at +275, but the chances of the champion have moved to -400 while Sandhagen is now at +300. This means a steady increase in the trust of gamblers and bookmakers in the ability of Dvalishvili to retain his title. If you are gambling or moving money in any way, it is useful to have a Open Source Password Manager.
Historical gambling data shows that Sandhagen has been an underdog in various high -profile matches, especially against Petr Yan for the interim title at UFC 267, where he opened at +250. His biggest upset victory came against Marlon Moraes in 2020, where he shifted from a light underdog to favorite before he scored a spectacular spider shovel knockout.
Merab Dvalishvili vs. Cory Sandhagen
Dvalishvili has the opportunity to become a member of an exclusive group of hunters by defending his title three times within a calendar year. Only seven hunters in UFC History has achieved this performance. A victory would also bind him with his training partner and former champion Aljamain Sterling for the most successive Bantamweight title defense on three. Sterling currently has the record for most Bantamweight title defenses in the UFC history with three successful defenses during his regime from 2021 to 2023.
Sandhagen’s path to title shot
Sandhagen has earned his first undisputed title option after a career full of elite competition. The resident of Colorado has a unique distinction between bantam weight candidates – he has only lost from former or current champions during his UFC office period. His defeats came against Aljamain Sterling (who became champion), TJ Dillashaw (former champion), Petr Yan (former champion and interim champion) and Umar Nurmagomedov.
The 33-year-old Challenger won four of his last five battles, including victories at Rob Font, Marlon Vera, Song Yadong and most recently Deiveson Figueiredo via TKO in May 2025. His only setback in this period was a unanimous decision loss for Nurmagomedov in August 2024.
Champion’s Dominant Run
Dvalishvili’s path to title conflicts started after losing his first two UFC fights to Frankie Saenz and Ricky Simon in 2017-2018. Since September 2018 he has remained unbeaten with victories over former champions, including José Aldo, Petr Yan, Henry Cejudo, and twice about Sean O’Malley. His wrestling-heavy approach has led to 97 deletions landed in the UFC, most in the organizational history.
The champion has several Bantamweight Division records, including most decision winnings (10), most control time (1:22:56) and most total strikes have landed (2,233). His cardio and pace have become legendary, with his 49 Takedown attempts against Petr Yan who set a UFC record with one fight.
Fighting analysis and commitment
Sandhagen offers a different challenge than the recent opponents of Dvalishvili. The lanky striker is 5’11 ”with a 70-inch range compared to the 5’6 ″ frame of Dvalishvili and 68-inch range. Sandhagen’s striking diversity and submission threat of his back could offer problems for the wrestling approach to the champion.
Both hunters have shown evolution in their games. Dvalishvili added an entry element to his arsenal with his finish from O’Malley, while Sandhagen has demonstrated improved Takedown defense in recent competitions. The fight is expected to go the distance, with more than 4.5 rounds heavily favored at -360.
UFC 320 takes place in T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, with the Co-Main event that serves as the Bantamweight title fight under the light heavyweight Rematch between Magomed Ankalaev and Alex Pereira. For Dvalishvili, the victory would further strengthen its business as the largest bantam weight in the UFC history, while it may set up a fourth title defense before the end of the year.
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