$1K collapse or $3K rally? Four AIs speculate which is more likely for ETH in the first quarter

“The balance sheet is trending towards gradual recovery or stabilization in the first quarter, rather than a dramatic collapse,” Grok said.

The big question now is which scenario is more plausible in the first quarter of the year: a crash to $1,000 or a pump to $3,000. Here are the views of four of the most popular AI-powered chatbots.

What comes next?

ChatGPT estimated that a 50% jump to $3,000 sometime in the first quarter is more likely, a reminder that ETH has initiated such moves many times in the past. It claimed that a recovery to that level would not require an extreme catalyst, just “bullish momentum and market stability.”

The chatbot did not rule out a collapse to $1,000, but argued that such a drop could only happen in the event of macro panic, regulatory crackdown or the collapse of a leading crypto exchange.

Grok – the chatbot integrated into X – shared a similar opinion. It stated that a jump to the top target carries a higher probability, but added that neither extreme option is guaranteed.

“The balance sheet is trending toward a gradual recovery or stabilization in the first quarter rather than a dramatic collapse – making a push toward $3K (or at least a meaningful uptrend) more plausible than a plunge toward $1K, especially if macro conditions improve or adoption catalysts kick in,” the report predicted.

Google’s Gemini echoed the theory, saying that a rally is statistically “more in line with historical patterns and analyst consensus.” It argued that a drop to $1,000 is a low-probability scenario unless a big black swan occurs.

Perplexity is the only chatbot (among those we consulted) that leans towards the bearish option. It stated that the crypto market has not been in its best shape lately, projecting a downward move for ETH towards $1,000 and even lower in the coming weeks.

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Could the crash be a blessing?

Just a few days ago, popular X user Ted asked His nearly 300,000 followers are wondering if they expect ETH to drop to $1,000 by 2026. According to him, a drop in that dimension would be “a great buying opportunity.”

Some commentators claimed that such a scenario is only possible in a macro crisis that could undermine the reputation of the entire cryptocurrency sector. Others welcomed the idea of ​​a collapse to $1,000, agreeing with Ted that it would be a good reason to increase their exposure.

Hosky.Watcher for example, suggested that big dips can be ‘opportunities and pitfalls’. They advised investors to enter the ecosystem with extra money, but not to touch “emergency funds or mortgage money.”

“Maintain a sense of humor and a risk plan,” the warning reads.