XRP Social Metrics Hit Lows in October: Why Is That Bullish for Ripple’s Price?

XRP faces intense FUD as its price plunges 31%, even as ETF inflows remain strong and support its long-term outlook.

Negative comments about Ripple’s XRP token on social media have reached their highest point in more than a month. This wave of doubt has hit at a time when the asset’s price is struggling, falling around 31% over the past two months despite strong institutional demand for the new spot ETFs.

Historical data shows that such extreme pessimism often occurred right before short-term price increases for the token.

Market sentiment is reaching a potential turning point

According to the latest data collected by social analytics platform Santiment, the fear, uncertainty and doubt (FUD) surrounding XRP on social media has hit the most intense level since October.

The company’s methodology tracks the ratio of bullish to bearish comments on platforms like X, Reddit and Telegram, noting that the last time a similar level of negative sentiment was observed was on November 21.

After that date, the price of XRP rose 22% over the next three days before the advance stopped. This pattern is consistent with a well-known market principle where prices sometimes move opposite to the prevailing psychology of the public, paving the way for a possible counter-trend revival.

This gloomy social mood is also in stark contrast to positive on-chain and institutional signals, with recent data showing the XRP Ledger’s Velocity metric, which tracks how often the token changes hands, hitting an annual high. Analysts say this means there is a big increase in economic activity and liquidity on the network.

Additionally, as previously reported, U.S. spot These funds have outperformed their Bitcoin and Ethereum counterparts over the same period.

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A technical and historical perspective

From a chart perspective, analysts are looking at a key resistance level around $2.28. According to them, a sustained break above this price could open a path to $2.75. The asset is currently trading around $2.09, after falling more than 4% in the last 24 hours and almost 8% in the last month.

Some technical observers have also pointed out similarities between the current setup and the patterns we saw in 2016-2017, before XRP’s historic bull run. They noted that momentum indicators such as the Stochastic RSI on the weekly charts are in oversold territory, a condition that has sometimes marked the end of recent recessions.

Whether the current negative sentiment serves as a contrarian catalyst or simply reflects deeper issues remains the key question. The assets are trading more than 40% below the all-time high of $3.65 set in July 2025.