XRP price rises 9% as Fed rate cut odds reach 97.8%

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The increase is because the probability of a rate cut by the Fed rose to 97.8% on Wednesday, according to the American report. FedWatch from CME Group indicator.

🇺🇲 97.8% chance of a 25 BPS interest rate cut tomorrow #FOMC 🔥

What do you think will happen next? pic.twitter.com/D7tgj97mIN

— Crypto Seth (@seth_fin) October 28, 2025

The interest rate decision looms amid a government shutdown that has delayed key jobs and inflation reports, causing Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and policymakers to “fly blind” and use private data and market signals instead of official government statistics.

Despite these challenges, sluggish job growth, rising unemployment and inflation stuck at 3% have convinced most economists that a rate cut is the right move.

A cut would return the federal funds rate from 4.00% to 4.25% to a range of 3.75%-4%. This is seen as a positive for crypto as lower interest rates help generate more liquidity, often pushing funds into riskier assets like crypto.

XRP coin price attracts attention

Coin price activity for XRP was high as traders positioned themselves for Fed action. Over the past seven days, XRP rose around 9% to reach a high of $2.66, trading in a tight range as enthusiasm for monetary easing spread across crypto exchanges.

Several large inflows have been recorded, with new buyers emerging every time the price drops towards $2.60.

October has brought bullish predictions, with market experts seeing the price of XRP potentially rising to $3.25 or higher if the buying momentum continues. Technical Analysis by Changelly Projects

These targets are increased by expectations that more “easy money” will appear in the markets after the Fed meeting

Signals in the chain also support the bullish outlook for coin prices. Active wallet addresses and large transaction volumes are increasing. This indicates that an increasing number of traders, investors, and even institutions are switching to XRP in anticipation of the Fed’s decision.

XRP active addresses Source: CryptoQuant

XRP Price Prediction: XRP Technical Analysis

XRP’s price action has drawn attention on charts with strong support and resistance at major moving averages. The latest daily chart provides a clear technical picture.

The price is now trading at $2.6524, just below the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2.7651 and above the 200-day SMA at $2.7651. $2.6116. This setup indicates an improving trend, with the coin bouncing to major support

XRPUSDT analysis source: Tradingview

The nearest resistance is at $2.77 (the 50-day SMA). If XRP can cross this level, the price could target the next resistance near USD 3.00. An important psychological and technical zone where salespeople have appeared before

Support is strong at $2.61 (200-day SMA). A drop below that could lead to more selling to $2.50 and $2.30, but buyers are firmly defending these levels.

Technical indicators also point to more upside potential. The RSI is at 53.10, showing solid momentum, but not an overbought market. The MACD is slightly bullish, with a reading of 0.0439 and a signal line of -0.0470, indicating that buyers are gaining strength but have room to grow.

The ADX is at 39.30, which means the trend is getting stronger and the high volatility could lead to breakout moves soon.

If the XRP price closes above $2.77 in the coming sessions, it could quickly rise to $3.00 and then to $3.33, especially if the Fed rate cut triggers another buying wave.

A rejection at resistance could see XRP drop towards support, but as long as it remains above $2.61, the overall trend looks positive.

Lots of institutional money could come in, and any news of spot XRP ETFs or big partnerships could fuel the rally. For now, traders are keeping an eye on the Fed’s action, with most expecting the rate cut this week to drive further gains in the XRP coin price.

If current momentum continues and the Fed makes the expected cut, XRP could break through key resistance and continue rising into early November. But as always, keeping a close eye on key support levels, especially around $2.61, is key to managing risks.

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