The Ripple token,
Data from the XRP ledger shows that transfers of large amounts of XRP to exchanges have fallen to levels not seen since 2021. CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain noted that the Whale Transfer Flow, which tracks these large transfers, fell to 48 million XRP before rising slightly to 56.1 million.
This metric is important because when whales move a lot of tokens onto exchanges, it is usually a signal that they are preparing to sell, which increases selling pressure and can depress the price. Conversely, low transfer activity indicates that whales are holding on to their tokens, which can limit supply on exchanges and create the potential for future price increases.
In previous cases, such as in 2021, low whale activity has been followed by notable price increases due to tighter supply and increased demand. Despite reduced whale sales, the price of XRP has fallen to a three-day low and is currently trading at $2.07, down 1.45% in the past 24 hours and 2.65% in the past week. However, the stock is still up about 7% over the past month.
January flipped a switch
Major holders abandoned Binance, with whale inflows falling to the lowest level in seven months
Less haste at the stock exchange usually means one thing: major players are in no hurry to sell pic.twitter.com/uiifwS3E7W
— Santolita (@SantoXBT) January 16, 2026
This short-term decline is mainly due to the broader crypto market, which is down 1.09% over the past 24 hours, bringing the total market cap to $3.23 trillion. Major cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana are also moving lower, reflecting an overall bearish trend in the market.
Although whale activity is low and selling pressure is subsiding, XRP is still experiencing a downward trend. This indicates that broader market conditions can have a stronger impact on prices than the dynamics of individual tokens. Analysts note that periods of low whale activity have historically led to price increases as limited supply on the exchanges drives demand.
Although XRP is now declining, the reduced whale transfers could support a price rebound once the market stabilizes and available supply on exchanges remains limited. This mix of factors indicates potential for future growth, even despite short-term losses.
XRP Price Bulls Defend Support at $2.00
XRP is trading near $2.05 on the 4-hour time frame after pulling back from recent highs. The chart shows a clear shift from consolidation to a strong bullish breakout, followed by a correction phase.
Previously, XRP spent several days sideways within a consolidation zone around $1.80-$1.90. Buyers vigorously defended this area. Once the price broke above the consolidation range, momentum increased sharply, confirming a bullish breakout. This move pushed XRP towards the USD 2.40 resistance, where sellers intervened aggressively.
After reaching that peak, XRP entered a corrective decline. The price made a controlled retreat and formed a support zone around $2.00-$2.05. This level matches the previous breakout structure, making it an important area for buyers. The market is now retesting this zone, indicating that the correction may be losing momentum.
XRPUSDT Chart Analysis. Source: Tradingview
A lower high formed around $2.20, marked as Resistance 1. This level is now the first upside barrier. A clear break above $2.20 could open the door for a move towards the key resistance around $2.40. If you don’t get $2.20 back, the price could remain between $2.00 and $2.20.
The chart also indicates a bullish reversal setup. The price remains above structural support and selling pressure appears weaker compared to the previous decline. As long as XRP remains above the $2.00 support zone, bulls will remain in control of the broader structure.
The RSI (14) is currently near 42, which is below the neutral 50 level but not oversold. This suggests that bearish momentum is fading rather than accelerating. A move back above 50 would confirm renewed bullish strength.
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