Asaduddin Owaisi-conducted Aimim, which has been accused of supporting the BJP by splitting the Muslim votes, watching the West Bengal elections 2026 with clear intentions.
Asaduddin Owaisi, Leader, Aimim
After Maharashtra, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and Delhi, the All India Majlis-e-Eiteteetehad-ul-Muslimeen (Aimim) decided to disturb the political dynamics of West Bengal.
The Asaduddin Owaisi-conducted party has announced to dispute all 294 constituents in the election of West Bengal.
Aimim Harke on the basis of the conditions of WAQF ownership in West Bengalen
AIMIM spokesperson Imran Solanki, a press conference in Kolkata and made it clear the intention of the party by resolving the issue of WAQF properties in the state.
Claiming that the entire part of the Supreme Court to Fort William WAQF is -he contradicted the government of the Trinamool Congress (TMC) because he would have benefited from it and asked to share the accounts of the WAQF board with the party.
The AIMIM spokesperson also claimed to have collected 60,000 votes in Maldah, 25,000 in Murshidabad, and from 15,000 to 18,000 in other areas in Panchayat elections.
Will Aimim BJP benefit?
The Asaduddin Owaisi-conducted party, which has been accused of supporting the BJP by splitting the Muslim votes many times, looks at the West-Bengal elections with clear intentions.
The Muslims form approximately 29% of the West-Bengal population, they are concentrated in six district Maldah, Murshidabad, Raigunj and Behrampur in North Bengal and South 24 Parganas and North 24 Parganas in South Bengal.
There are 20 constituencies in Lok Sabha and around 150 constituencies with more than 20% Muslim population. In more than 100 seats, Muslims are the decisive factor in the elections.
TMC, Mamata Banerjee remains popular
The deployment is high for the prevailing TMC, which will complete three consecutive terms when it goes to polls in April 2026.
Although Prime Minister Mamata Banerjee remains the most popular leader in the state, Anti-Incumbency can play a crucial role in pampering her opportunities.
TMC took a voice share of 45.77% in the Lok Sabha elections of 2024, 2% more than the 43.7% of the votes it received in the 2019 general elections.
It won 29 seats, seven more than 22 in Lok Sabha elections from 2019.
The BJP suffered a loss of face because the voice share fell by 2% from 40.6% in 2019 to 38.73% in 2024.
While the reigning party 16 of the 20 seats dominated with Muslims won while the BJP took three of such seats, and only one chair went to the congress, the TMC can feel confident.
Will the boat from Anti-Incumbency Rock TMC?
However, media reports suggest that the basic reality has changed by anti-incumbence sentiments and accusations of corruption and nepotism.
Analysts believe that Aimim can concentrate on the backwardness of the Muslims and the rise of the Hindutva troops in the state.
The number of RSS-Lied schools, Saraswati Shishu Mandir, has risen from 109 in 2017 to 300 in 2024. More than 92,000 students visit these schools.
Rise of RSS, Hindutva, Muslims can upset
Similarly, the number of RSS “Swayamsevaks” has considerably increased over the years in West Bengal. From 52,000 Swayamsevaks in the year 2000 to around 60,000 in 2010, it crossed 70,000 in 2023.
Although there were 750 RSS Shakhas in West Bengal in 2013, it rose to 1279 in 2018 and it crossed 1500 in 2024.
The Aimim is to resolve this issue and to play the uncertainty card among Muslim voters.
The strategy became clear when the Aimim spokesperson Imran Solanki asked why these figures had increased during the rule of Mamata Banerjee in the state.
Will Asaduddin Owaisi end to help BJP?
Analysts believe that, despite the fact that they have finished a long claim of candidates in all constituents, the Asaduddin Owaisi-conducted party would concentrate on seats with a considerable number of Muslims.
It will be a tough task for the goal of placing candidates in more than 100 constituencies, whereby Muslims form more than 20% of the electorate.
If the party gets more than 5,000 votes in one of these seats, this can disrupt the political comparison and the TMC can be on the receiving side. It can only benefit the BJP.
The Ganges, however, flows calmly and enough water will flow before it happens.
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