When President Donald Trump acquires Greenland after this recent wave of Trump tariffs, every market will start pumping like crazy, and the metals will correct significantly. Prepare wisely.
In any case, Polymarket indicates that this happens in 21-35% of cases:
The other side of the coin is that large parts of the Western world are currently removing their association with the US because of Trump. This time, the US is targeting eight European countries, including England, Denmark and France, against US and Greenland takeover attempts.
Our dollars are becoming more and more worthless. Gold, silver and hard assets should rise as a result. So yes, Trump is adding volatility back to the markets, but at what cost?
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Ironically, what is the best way to take advantage of the Trump tariffs?
Investing in China? Going short on the S&P? It could all be so easy.
Stock futures have been sliding across Europe and the US as we have seen capital flow into traditional havens. The biggest notable trades were gold and silver, which hit record highs.
Silver is up 206% since this day last year.
Meanwhile, Trump’s tariff proposal is a 10% tariff from February 1 on goods from Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, Britain, the Netherlands and Finland, rising to 25% in June if there is no deal on Greenland.
“The threat of tariffs against fellow NATO members adds a new dose of uncertainty,” – Tim Waterer, Chief Market Analyst, KCM Trade
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What will perform best under Trump? Port assets rise as ‘Sell America’ rumors return
Since the Trump tariffs, gold has risen more than 1.5% to new records of almost $4,700 per ounce; Silver rose past $94. European stock index futures fell about 1.3%, S&P 500 contracts fell almost 1% and the dollar weakened against major peers.
Bitcoin slipped as liquidity sought assurance from volatility:
- Gold: FRED data The precious metal is up more than 60% year-on-year, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts and central bank purchases.
- Crypto: CoinGecko shows bitcoin retreating amid the rate news, consistent with near-term risk flows despite strong structural demand.
- Rates: Treasury futures gained on the holiday-thinned tape, while European bonds rallied.
European leaders rebuked the move, with France signaling the possible activation of the EU’s anti-coercion instrument. An all-out trade war would be mutually destructive; Europe owns about $8 trillion in US bonds and stocks, almost twice as much as the rest of the world combined.
“There is no such thing as trade certainty anymore,” says Carsten Brzeski, Global Head of Macro, ING
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Some positive news: the Asian markets have remained stable. South Korea rose thanks to AI optimism; China has achieved its 5% growth target and the Japanese yen/USD combination has remained stable. The tension now is whether the tariffs will overwhelm earnings momentum or become another bargaining trick.
What we have seen in America is that capital itself has become the state.
Think of feudal Japan: the president and his government are the emperor, the regent of the country whose word is an absolute and final mandate from heaven itself. The reality behind this superficial fiction is that executives, corporations, donors and a very small elite of private interests dictate foreign and domestic policy in the same way the shogun did.
Trump can roil the markets in the short term, but he cannot derail the trajectory. Crypto, AI, and the S&P all move on fundamentals that are bigger than executive orders. The real catalyst is still loading: lower rates, QE. It’s not here yet, but it’s coming.
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Key Takeaways
- When President Donald Trump acquires Greenland after this recent wave of Trump tariffs, every market is going to pump like crazy.
- The real catalyst is still loading: lower rates, QE. It’s not here yet, but it’s coming.
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