Transaction analysis: The pleasant working day of Jed Hoyer | Baseball Prospectus

Translated by José M. Hernández Lagunes

Jed and his team dedicated to the product on the field have built up the development organization of a solid players and have placed an exciting team in the field with aspirations after the season.

Hey, disculp game, a press release from Tom Ricketts hypnotized while investigating this article. Ricketts is right when he says so, in the most literal sense. It is probably not good after it has been surpassed by those annoying brewers on the eve of the deadline for changes. But they have some prospects and some victories, so well, okay.

I don’t think Jed Hoyer does not deserve the extension he received on Monday; The Cubs are good and young, but it is fair to place it in the Mike Elias Group that needs a reminder that the ultimate goal of the sport is not to have a minor Leagues system at a high level. It is possible that you make a big change tomorrow and all my preamble seem absurd, but I will continue and I will assume that it is playing according to the character. I will assume that the search for another Matthew Boyd instead of Kyle Tucker.

The puppies acquire the LD Michael Soroka of the subjects in exchange for the SS Ronny Cruz and the J Christian Franklin.

Michael Soroka It was a popular selection to become Revelation after a good series in the Bullpen of the White Sox gave a high strikeout at the end of last year. The Nationals gave him $ 9 million to launch in the rotation and were rewarded with a handful of competent tickets and two prospects. Soroka has strikeouts of strikeouts, balls due to balls and avoidance of damage higher than the average, which exceeds his peripheral statistics (Dra-91, Xera of 3.32) with shortcomings (it was 4.87).

But there is a big alert signal that everyone sees: their speed has fallen more than three miles per hour since the beginning of the year. After a biceps lesion on the opening day, Soroka remained at 94.5 km / h in nine openings, with 27.7% of the batters struggling with a basic percentage per balls of only 6.4% and an average bar percentage. The results on the surface were not spectacular, but had a thra- of 75. Since then, the speed has constantly decreased, until the point of on average slightly less than 91 MPH in its last opening with Washington on Tuesday. The results have not yet been reduced, but since Soroka has already established a new record of tickets since 2019, it is difficult to imagine that the speed returns.

At the moment, the location of his releases is fairly good optimizing, maintaining the line of four seams above and its curve embedded in the corner, sufficiently combined without cherry and speed changes to destabilize the battle people. Even with its solid peripheral figures, however, it does not seem like a post -seal opener, and it would not surprise me that the Cubs are waiting to restore part of that speed by putting it on the bullpen. And those are bad news for fans of puppies, who can identify four questionable openers in their current rotation; Yes, that includes a worrying little strikeouts Shota Imanaga.

Cubs acquire the LD Andrew Kittredge of the Orioles in exchange for the SS Wilfri van Cruz. The Cubs acquire the LZ Taylor Rogers van Piraten in exchange for J Ivan Brethowr.

Ah, and also Andrew Kittredge y Taylor Rogers They are here. The Orioles played against the Cubs during the weekend, so maybe Kitredge flew to their new club with their former team. The Cubs try to determine a record for the oldest and low influence group, and possibly the best work by Hoyer. Drew Pomeranz36, he launches well, just like Ryan BrasierThat will be 38 in a few weeks. Caleb Thielbar He is already 38 years old and has something like the best year of his career, and though Ryan Presly36 years old, has had problems (as expected, if you had seen the direction in which it was strikeout percentage), there is room for kitledge, 35 and Rogers, 34.

[Actualización: Ryan Pressly ha sido despedido. Nunca entendí realmente por qué se le prestó tanta atención durante el invierno al destino de un bulto de 36 años que había mostrado signos obvios de declive, y el rendimiento de este año no deja lugar a discusión con este movimiento, pero este es un gran golpe para la edad promedio del cuerpo de relevo intermedio de los Cachorros.]

Kiitredge is fine. He has had a solid performance for a while and recorded numbers above average (91 DRA, 88 ERA, 25.2% K%, 6.5% BB%) but little spectacular in almost all categories for his last three teams. It is the type of reliever with a good launch (slider) and a good reliever around it. If you allow four races in a postsease game, someone will say: “That is why you have to negotiate to get the best arms of the bullpen available.” But working on such small monsters, it can easily dominate and be the claim of Jed Hoyer. If the latter happens, it has an option from the team for the next launch, although $ 9 million dollars is more than what the teams like to pay for exemption, simply useful.

Rogers is also fine. It is true that they have reached him three times in the last seven months, and it is true that it looks a bit worse every day. But that has not yet been left without skills. The prosecution rates have collapsed over the past two years, and with a basic percentage of balls of 13%it is one of the most nervous reliefs that exist. The strikeout percentage is good and has usually avoided harmful contact, so the general production is between the average (97 FIP) and slightly better than that (90 DRA). The fans of the Reds are very angry with him because this year he has allowed 15 of the 26 races, which well contextualizes how weak the effectiveness of 2.45 is. It is worse than Pomeranz and Thielbar, but their history is much more stable than that of those two.

The DRA places Imanaga, Colin Rea y Jameson Tallon Of the 30 worst baseball openers (at least 75 inputs). Nor does he like the work of Horton gifty Ben Brown– whose has a positive opinion – it has an effectiveness of 6.30 because it cannot stop allowing home runs. I don’t know what a rotation would be after the season after Boyd and has surpassed the maximum mentions since 2019. Soroka can be an improvement in that context, but it is a shameful situation.

I don’t want my bullpen from a group of old age. Daniel Palencia He has a .227 Babip and the best basic rates for balls of his career, and one Brad Keller It is in a resurgistic plan. If I was launched a little stronger (like Craig in my article “Brad Keller It’s good ‘from two winters ago), now I would look great. But that is Jed Hoyer. If you give 75%, you will never fail. You can be successful one day, and it is not that the brewers maneuver with more aggressiveness, but you will never fail. Will be good if Brad Keller is well -conquered Thoracic output syndrome; Rome PetsonAnd the world keeps running.