WTA Limoges challenger
Kalinina 1.64 v Parks
Starts at 10:30 am
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No breaks or breakpoints in the first 3 games. Kalinina served at 1-2 and was broken to 30. I supported Kalinina at 2:30.
The next game saw Parks split to 30. I removed some of my liability at 1.77. In the next game, Kalinina had a zero position and I removed all liability at 1.59, leaving the green on Kalinina.
The next 4 games were easy to hold. Parks served at 5-5 and was broken. Kalinina’s last two service games had been easy. Normally I would have waited until the end of the set before laying her down. Because I already have some green, I put Kalinina at 1.26 and that was without risk.
Kalinina fell behind 0-30, but eventually stayed at 30 to take the set. Her price dropped to 1.21. I kept my position, which was green on Kalinina and a bigger green on Parks.
Parks served first in set 2 and held at 15. It was around this time that the scoreboards seemed to lose the plot, although the bet365 scoreboard correctly showed Parks then easily beating Kalinina to lead 2-0. Other leaderboards, including the scoreboard on the bet365 live stream, showed a very different score. Kalinina’s price dropped to 1.16 when she was 2-0 behind! This was frustrating because the set was going my way, but the market wasn’t. I’m not sure why there was so much confusion as there was a live stream and the referee (obviously) called the correct score! To be fair to Bet365, they had the right score all match.
Parks could then be easily retained. In the second game of the set, Kalinina doubled over in pain at least twice. She was broken again in the next match and Parks led 4–0. The market still didn’t know what was happening. Kalinina’s price was 1.45 at 0-4. It should have been closer to 1.70.
Park’s hero serves to lead 5-0. Kalinina was at 1.53. She should have been well above her stat price of 1.56. Kalinina eventually held serve and reached 1-5. Parks then easily served out the set. I covered evenly at 1.70 when Parks called for a medical timeout due to a leg problem.
I didn’t worry about the deciding set. Kalinina had been struggling in that second set and now Parks might have been injured.
In the third set, Kalinina got an early break and that would be the only break of the set.
Calculation of approximately 7-5, 1-6, 6-3.
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