Welcome Friends of the Turk blog and day 2 of the Kentucky Downs meet. I disabled for day 1 The tapit $ 500,000. Some observations stand out:
BoldosWow! Track record. The screenshot lays the moment it breaks loose and walks away with it.
What good I did.
- I disabled the winner. The key to exotic gambling is to choose winners.
- Am I smart or is the track handicapper stupid? Boldos is 8-1 morning line. I don’t look at morning lines because it adds bias. Even adjusted to remove the collections, it was adjusted to 10.5-1. I handicap a fair opportunity value of 5-1 and put it as the chalk in my basic disability. But what happens? He gets a gamble on 3-2.
- The seven scratches did not help. What is the use of the “also entered” if they just start scratching?
- It is a difficult game to beat.
The tapit $ 500kkd 28 August 2025; 1 mile 70 yards firm peat.
Ky Downs – Tapit S. (1 Mile 70y, Peat) • 28 August 2025
| Horse | Pp | Star | 1/4 | 1/2 | 3/4 | Struggle | Fin | Jockey | Chances |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boldos | 9 | 7 | 41/2 | 31 1/2 | 33 1/2 | 1 | 1 | Ortiz JL | 1.50 |
| Ohana Honora | 6 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 71/2 | 2HD | 2No | Hernandez bj jr | 9.19 |
| Cameo version | 5 | 5 | 81 1/2 | 8 | 6 | 3HD | 3 | Gaffalione | 4.70 |
| Nelson Avenue | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21 1/2 | 2 | 41/2 | 4No | Dettori l | 5.54 |
| Nineeleventurbo | 3 | 3 | 51/2 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | Geroux F | 6.92 |
| Tapit -shoes | 2 | 9 | 9 | 71 | 8 | 8 | 6 | Gutierrez Mario | 38.68 |
| Multitask | 4 | 6 | 61 1/2 | 51 1/2 | 4 | 71 1/2 | 7 | Chemina V | 15.85 |
| One day | 1 | 8 | 11/2 | 11 | 11 | 51 1/2 | 8 | Rosario J. | 5.86 |
| Track Phantom | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 9 | Asmussen E. | 43.74 |
Superscripts show lengths-so-hind fractions (e.g. 1/2, 1, 1½, 3½) and special margins HD (head) and No (nose). Source: KD Tapit S. Chart, 28 August 2025.
For day two of this meeting I am focused on a 3 -year race with a wallet of $ 3.5 mm, the class 3 Nashville Derbyrun on 1 mile and 5/16.
12 Wimbledon Hawkeye (GB) – Timeformus Early/Late not mentioned in DRF -page
What to make of all this?
I’m going to keep it simple: $ 2 Exacta 11/12/8 over 11/12/2/5/1 for $ 30 dollars.
Have fun friends, peat out!
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