The nomination is in: The del Mar Oaks G1

Welcome Friends of the Turk blog, where I usually specialize in handicapping older horses who walk on a grass route, with which I change Exacta bets. Simple starting point. Today I handicap the Share Mar OaksAnd while I only 3 Yos, I don’t want to look at the next and Komers. My problem with the younger horses is that they are missing data. The more information as a handicapper you have, the better. With younger horses I change my key angles somewhat and I concentrate on class, wins on the distance, wins on the circuit, the intentions of trainer. 27 victories combined for the 11 starters. 3 Graded Stakes wins. The best late speed is Rand of Mali (IRE) At 107 followed by Firenze taste at 102. The best early speed is Thinking process on 116 and the next best is Slick (Ire) at 97. Slick (Ire) And Lush Have the best peat Tomlinson’s in the middle of the 380s Region Is the best distance Tomlinson at 409.

Let’s take a look Thinking process and her dominant victory in the One Mile San Clemente. Understand the power of the extra 660 feet today, but nobody was catching this day.

July 19, 2025: DMR; The San Clemente G2; 1 mile over firm peat

Kasal Gave a good chase well beyond his turf and distance Tomlinson’s. Tomlison’s have their place, especially in these younger horses.

Tomlinson numbers were made by StamboExperts Leon Rasmussen and Leon Tomlinson in the seventies and eighties. They are designed to give horse players a fast numeric measure of how to breed a horse suggests that it will perform under certain racing conditions such as grass, dirt, distance or wet tracks.

The numbers are calculated from pedigree data. They look at how successful the ancestors of a horse – especially the father and dam – have been under a certain condition. This produces a three -digit figure, where higher numbers mean that the family tree shows more strength for that surface or distance. For example, a peat Tomlinson of 380 or higher suggests strong grass skills in the pedigree, while a 250 would have little influence to influence.

The daily racing form began to include Tomlinson numbers in previous performances in 1991 in the past. They soon became popular with gamblers because they help answer unknown questions, such as or a horse trying for the first time can be bred turf, or that a sprinter that extends in distance can have the stamina in its bloodlines. They are especially useful for first starters, surface switches and stretch-outs.

There are limits to Tomlinson numbers. They do not measure the actual skills, fitness or class – only what the family tree suggests. A horse with a high Tomlinson can still walk badly, and a horse with a low can still succeed if his individual talent or training is heavier than its bloodlines.

Remember what we are trying to do here, two separate tasks:

• Handicap (place in order) who should have to win.
• Exacta bet: Who can beat my Topwin candidate who may finish second.

That’s how I look at the races. I am not a fan boy (although I love the horses and I have my favorites), but I am a degenerate (not really) gambler who tries to beat the track with a very sloping opportunities in the direction of the house. You don’t do that gambling bar. You don’t do that either if you don’t think someone can beat the chalk. I don’t see it Thinking process How unbeatable, it is her 8th start, she has won 5, 3 of 4 in Del Mar, 5 of 6 on Turf, Bullet Work at 5F. That is impressive, but we want to beat her. The Tomlinson’s in combination with other information from racing maps and earlier versions, plus video, informs me about who could do that.

Let’s find out!

DMR; The Share Mar Oaks G1; 1 1/8 miles on sturdy peat

Thinking processMay not be pressed on hard early, and she would have to put the lead without too much trouble. Can she maintain? 660 feet. 1 extra furlong. I look at the group of Florence taste, Casalu, Lush Lips (GB) And Will then To challenge early and late. I like the two Firenze taste And Kasal to Thinking process” Lush or Will then To be placed. 8/9 about 8/9/10/5/7 A $ 2 bet for $ 16.

I said, I think they will catch Thinking process. I am convinced, not really, but that is my perspective. If you believe in the horse, change gear and add some of the longer strange deep shits to the sheet position, single Thinking process Over Firenze taste And Will thenA $ 2 Exacta for $ 4. Not a bad game.

Have fun friends, Turk Out!