The Maple Leafs have played poorly so far, but so has the rest of the Atlantic Division

The Maple Leafs have played poorly so far, but so has the rest of the Atlantic Division

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The Maple Leafs have played poorly so far, but so has the rest of the Atlantic Division

The Toronto Maple Leafs haven’t had much to offer their fans in the month of October. And you would think that most people would be used to it by now. It certainly could have been worse than a 5-5-1 record to start the season, but when you consider how much both the defensive corps and goaltenders have struggled, and combine that with uninspiring production from the team’s newfound depth, it’s understandable that a solid 90 percent of the fanbase (okay, I may have made that number up) is dialed in to the Toronto Blue Jays until further notice.

Fortunately, history shows that the Leafs like to start the season with their skates in the mud before finding their feet in November and reaffirming their status as one of the top teams in the Atlantic Division. That’s not an excuse for the way they’ve played thus far, and I’m sure they would have preferred to pick up some points in the very home schedule in October, but it should at least provide some reassurance that, no, the Leafs aren’t on the verge of dropping out. At least not yet. If you don’t care about this and your personal margin of error is zero due to the amount of time this team has had to make a significant playoff run and the number of subsequent failures, then that’s fair too! I’m not here to judge you for your emotions.

That said, it’s worth recognizing that as uninspiring as they’ve played thus far, the rest of the Atlantic Division, with the exception of the Montreal Canadiens and Detroit Red Wings, have played the same.

CURRENT ATLANTIC DIVISION STANDARDS

  1. Detroit Red Wings (8-3-0, 16 points)
  2. Montreal Canadiens (8-3-0, 16 points)
  3. Ottawa Senators (6-5-1, 13 points)
  4. Tampa Bay Lightning (5-4-2, 12 points)
  5. Boston Bruins (6-7-0, 12 points)
  6. Florida Panthers (5-5-1, 11 points)
  7. Buffalo Sabers (4-4-3, 11 points)
  8. Toronto Maple Leafs (5-5-1, 11 points)

After looking at how the Atlantic Division is laid out, it’s much easier to contextualize how early in the season it is. Defending their play while sitting at the bottom of the Atlantic Division is the equivalent of putting on clown makeup as I write this, but it’s less a defense than a reminder of how the season normally unfolds.

The Red Wings and Canadiens are two teams doing everything they can to finish their rebuilds and work their way back to the playoffs on a regular basis, and so far they have shown that they have made some progress. But it’s not realistic to expect either team to outscore the Leafs, Lightning and Panthers for an entire season. They’ll go through their slumps and experience the highs and lows of an 82-game NHL season just like everyone else, though their hot start has at least indicated that teams will have to keep an eye on them.

With all the talk about Auston Matthews and his “slow” start to the season with five goals and eight points in 11 games, let’s take a look at the Panthers’ stars for comparison. Sam Reinhart has five goals and six points in 11 games. Carter Verhaeghe has two goals and five points in eleven games. And Sam Bennett? Remember the guy who was said to be one of the most coveted free agents last summer? He has one goal and two points in eleven games.

The Lightning, on the other hand, haven’t struggled as much offensively as the Panthers, but you can imagine they also want to get more production out of their star players. Nikita Kucherov has 10 points in nine games, Brayden Point has eight points in 11 games, and like Anthony Stolarz, goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy has come out of the gate. His save percentage of .899 (SV%) is well below what is regularly expected of him, but ask yourself this. Do you think Vasilevskiy will struggle like this all year? Probably not, right?

Then you look at the Bruins, who have gotten a lot of production from their star players even in the absence of Brad Marchand, but their goaltenders are going through the motions. Jeremy Swayman has an SV% of .886 and a goals-against average (GAA) of 3.45, while Joonas Korpisalo has an SV% of .882 and a GAA of 3.49. Their goaltending situation has essentially guaranteed a minimum of three goals against performance every time they take the ice. Do you expect this to remain the case?

That leaves the Senators, who can’t really be called a third-place team if they’re only two points behind last, and the Sabres, who don’t deserve the benefit of the doubt until they show everyone they’re serious. It sounds harsh, but the Sabers’ biggest offseason acquisition was Sam Lafferty, which doesn’t exactly inspire confidence that this will be the year they take a step forward and compete for the playoffs.

If you’re reading this piece from the angle of “okay, so this guy is basically saying that the Leafs will experience a positive regression and everyone else will go in the opposite direction,” then you’ve missed the point. The point is that after the first month of the season you can no longer draw any conclusions. I don’t believe the Leafs, Panthers, and Lightning will be bad all season, and I don’t believe the Canadiens and Red Wings will be good all season. It’ll all work out, and if the Leafs are still stumbling by the time December rolls around, it might be time for a serious conversation about the direction of this team. But as of now, history shows that their tendency to turn it on in October will be followed by their tendency to turn it on in November. It’s just the way it is.

PRESENTED BY VIVID CHAIRS

#Maple #Leafs #played #poorly #rest #Atlantic #Division

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