The Reserve Bank of India again resorted to heavy intervention to support the rupee, nine traders said, pushing the currency past the 90-per-dollar mark.
Wednesday’s intervention followed a familiar playbook that the RBI used repeatedly last year when it intervened aggressively to push the rupee higher, aiming to disrupt one-way moves. Previous interventions, according to bankers, stemmed from a build-up of speculative long dollar positions and expectations of a consistent depreciation of the rupee.
Before the central bank’s intervention on Wednesday, the rupee had fallen about 1% in the past two weeks.
The local currency rupee continues to face headwinds from continued overseas selling of Indian equities, a trend that has continued from 2025 into the new year, in addition to continued uncertainty over a US-India trade deal.
“Going forward, resilient macro fundamentals and an improvement in capital flows as US-related trade uncertainty subsides should ease pressure on the rupee. However, we expect the currency to remain within a range as the RBI rebuilds FX reserves as portfolio inflows recover,” Goldman Sachs said in a note. It predicts the currency will be around 89.50 in three months and 91 in six months.
(Reporting by Dharamraj Dhutia; Editing by Nivedita Bhattacharjee and Janane Venkatraman)
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