The crucial resistance that will decide Bitcoin’s next big move

The crucial resistance that will decide Bitcoin’s next big move

Bitcoin is trading near $105,000 after losing $107,000 of support. Analysts track resistances, liquidity zones and long-term market cycle signals.

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near $105,000 after falling below the $107,000 support level. This area has been holding since April 2025, but turned into resistance during the recent decline.

In the meantime, the market is monitoring this level as assets try to recover. Activity has increased on renewed optimism about the US government avoiding a shutdown, which has supported risk markets.

Technical resistance at $107K

Daan Crypto Trades reported that BTC lost both the 200-day moving average (MA) and the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) after being above them for months. These indicators are now converging near $107,000, making it a key resistance zone.

The current trend is downward, with BTC trading below both moving averages. The recent attempt to recover $107,000 was rejected. Until the price breaks and stays above this zone, the downward pressure remains.

Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X

However, over a broader time frame, structural support remains intact. Crypto Patel noted that BTC closed the weekly candle above the 50-week EMA. This level has been supported since 2023 and has been tested multiple times without any interruptions.

Additionally, the chart also shows an unfilled fair value gap (FVG) of approximately $90,000. Previous gaps have been filled during the uptrend, but it remains open. Referring to the importance of this support, Crypto Patel said:

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Liquidity levels and short-term movements

Bull Bear spot posted that BTC has released most of the liquidity above current levels. The area below $104,950 is still active and could attract price movements.

“Will BTC move to that price zone to take away liquidity?” the post asked.

Ted shared that BTC shows a pattern of highs on Mondays and lows on Tuesdays. He also pointed to a CME gap of about $104,000 that remains open.

Long-term signals and market timing

In a video, Ali Martinez named that previous Bitcoin cycles peaked 1,064 days after the major bottoms. The recent high of $126,000 came exactly 1,064 days after the November 2022 low. He said: “This suggests the market top may be in.” The comment is based on the duration of the past cycle, but does not predict future movements.

Doctor Profit noted that BTC is close to the “Golden Lineat $99,200, as previously reported. This level has held since March 2023. ETF data also shows weekly outflows, indicating reduced institutional activity. Bitcoin remains active around critical price zones.

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