Super Bowl 60 picks: best QB prop bets

Super Bowl 60 picks: best QB prop bets

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Super Bowl 60 takes place on Sunday, February 8 in Santa Clara, California. It’s the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks battling it out for the Lombardi Trophy, and it should be a good one. Both teams compiled 14-3 records during the regular season before New England advanced with playoff wins over the Chargers, Texans and Broncos, while Seattle took care of the 49ers and Rams.

Let’s take a look at the game odds and two of my favorite prop bets for Patriots vs. Seahawks.

Super Bowl 60 odds

Moneyline: Patriots +190 / Seahawks -230
Spread: Patriots +4.5 (-105) / Seahawks -4.5 (-115)
Total: Over 45.5 (-112) / Under 45.5 (-108)

Super Bowl Prop Bet: Sam Darnold Under 0.5 Interceptions (+110)

The NFC Championship was the biggest game of Darnold’s pro career, and he played one of his best, completing 25 of 36 passes for 346 yards and three touchdowns without throwing an INT. The former No. 3 overall pick hasn’t been interception-free through two playoff games and hasn’t thrown a pick since Week 17. Darnold has not thrown an interception in six of his last 10 appearances. The USC product threw 14 interceptions during the regular season, but they usually came in bunches (four against the Rams in Week 11, for example). But now they don’t come at all. As for New England’s defense, it may be stout, but it also doesn’t throw many interceptions. It made just 10 INTs during the regular season while allowing 25 passing TDs.

Super Bowl Prop Bet: Drake Maye Over 30.5 Pass Attempts (-103)

This is a particularly strong play if you think the Patriots will play from behind. That’s what the odds suggest, as they are +4.5 underdogs. And many seem to agree, given how good the Seahawks look these days. If New England is actually behind on the scoreboard most of the time, Maye will have to express it. That’s what many of Seattle’s opponents have been forced to do. During the regular season, the Hawks had the fifth most pass attempts against them (600). Part of that also has to do with the fact that their run defense ranked third in the NFL and first in yards per carry allowed. For several reasons, teams have no choice but to throw. Unsurprisingly, Rams QB Matthew Stafford had 35 attempts in the NFC Championship. Meanwhile, Maye’s relatively high pedestrian numbers so far in the play-offs may be discounted due to the harsh weather conditions. In the regular season, the number 3 of 2024 surpassed this number of 30.5 in five of the last eight games. That stretch included games with 34, 35 and 44 pass attempts.

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