“If you ask anyone, what is the market like today? He will say it is up 400 to 500 points. Which index is he referring to? It is Sensex. It is in him. He understands, accepts and relates Sensex as itself, as a market, as an economy. That is what Sensex has achieved in the last four decades,” BSE MD and CEO Sundararaman Ramamurthy told ET Markets when asked to comment on Sensex’s glorious 40 years.Its annualized growth of 13.4% over forty years has tracked India’s nominal GDP growth of 12.97% almost perfectly, reinforcing Sensex’s reputation as the true barometer of the world’s fourth-largest economy, now valued at $4.13 trillion.
From License Raj to Global Powerhouse
Born into an economy strangled in 1986 by pre-liberalisation restrictions, the Sensex witnessed India’s metamorphosis from a largely agrarian nation to a global growth engine. The index became the storyteller of reforms, weathering the waves of liberalization from 1991 onwards, surviving the Asian crisis, tracking the IT revolution and showing remarkable maturity during the 2008 global financial collapse and the pandemic shock.
The meteoric rise was punctuated by historic milestones: the 1,000 mark in 1990, the 10,000 mark in 2006, the 50,000 mark in 2021 and the 85,000 mark in 2024. In the decade from 2014 to 2024 alone, the Sensex more than tripled from 25,000 to 85,000. levels.
“We’ve only seen people with connections making money in this market. Now aam Jant makes money,” notes Ramamurthy, highlighting the democratization that has shaped the evolution of the index.
Sensex track record
Over the last 40 years, Sensex has delivered positive returns in 75% of all years, while the Total Return Index, which includes dividends and reinvestments, has been positive in 79% of the years. Remarkably, there has been only one year with a negative return in the past fourteen calendar years.
The five best-performing years were 1988, 1991, 1999, 2003 and 2009, each of which coincided with major economic reforms or recoveries. The five worst years, 1995, 1998, 2000, 2008 and 2011, reflected global crises and domestic adjustment.
The most extreme volatility has been centered around watershed moments: the Covid crash of 2020, the Great Financial Crisis of 2008-2009 and 1991-1992, when Manmohan Singh’s historic budget and the Harshad Mehta scam roiled the markets. But large one-day moves, which were common in the early decades, have become increasingly rare, signaling market maturation with improved liquidity and broader participation.
The composition of the index tells the story of India’s structural transformation. The weight of financial services has almost doubled from 22.25% in 2005 to 39.5% in 2025, while the representation of the IT sector fell from 19.9% to 12.95%. Consumer durables rose from 4.93% to 12.95%, and commodities shrank from 8.97% to 2.98%. Energy stocks fell to 9.72% from 16.11%, data from BSE showed.
“The representation in the index reflects what the market economy is, and that is probably why it is called a true barometer not only of the market but also of the economy,” Ramamurthy explains. “Sensex has seen India’s transformation from an agricultural economy, with a slight shift to manufacturing and then to services. It reflects a growing country.”
Since its inception in 1986, Sensex has remained four stalwarts: HUL, Larsen & Toubro, ITC and Reliance Industries – a testament to sustainable business models that have withstood four decades of change.
Launched with a base value of 100, retested till 1978-79, the Sensex opened at 549.43 on January 2, 1986. Forty years later, it stands as both a compass for investors and a symbol of India’s progress towards becoming Viksit Bharat.
“The returns are good, but it is not that easy to grab the attention of the public. It is not easy to sustain and grow with them for 40 years,” reflects Ramamurthy, describing the index’s journey from a narrow, broker-dominated market to the beating heart of financial democratization in India.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions expressed by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of the Economic Times.)
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