Stock market forecast – July 27, 2025

Stock market forecast – July 27, 2025

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Stock market forecast in the week of July 27 = Trend

  • Average directional index: Trend
  • Institutional activity: Trend
  • On balance volume: Trend

ANALYSIS
The benefits of the stock market shows an uptrend for US shares, after the outbreak of his recent consolidation.

The S&P500 ($ Spx) Won 1.5% last week. The index is ~ 5% above the 50-day advancing average and ~ 9% above the 200-day advancing average.

All three technical indicators remain bullish.

SPX price and volume card for July 27, 2025

Performance comparisons
Each sector improved last week, but in a reversal of recent trends it was healthcare ($ XLV) Outperforming and technology ($ XLK) underperforming. Healthcare ($ XLV) jumped back in a bullish bias and the staples of the consumer improved to neutral.

Weekly price performance of S&P500 Sector ETFs

S&P sector performance from week 30 of 2025

All sector styles also came up; Strangely enough, they were Defensives ($ Illegal) Outpresting, and the growth of small dop performance. Low beta ($ SPLV) Moved to bullish bias.

Weekly price performance per sector style

Sector style performance from week 30 of 2025

For the second week in a row, shares ($ Spy) Outprested and oil ($ Use) underperformed. Oil and gold moved to neutral bias and the US dollar fell back to Beerarish after a recent rally attempt.

Weekly price performance per activa class

Active class performance of week 30 2025

COMMENTARY
For the coming week, a complete album with economic headlines for the market to digest, including: June Job Opening (Jolts), the first Q2 BBP lecture, a FOMC interest decision, PCE inflation, July non-farmers lists and ISM production production PMI.

Keep an eye on the reaction of the prices of assets, in particular the proceeds of the Treasury (interest rates), the US dollar and gold. All three have consolidated in the last 6 weeks, and the shifts to and from neutral bias during that time frame can indicate that their respective trends momentum loses and a shift in the macro -economic regime is involved.

The best for your week!

PS If you find this research useful, tell a friend.
If you don’t, tell an enemy.

Sources: Bloomberg, CNBC, Federal Reserve Bank or St. Louis, HedeGeye, Stockcharts.com, Tradingconomics.com, US Bureau or Economic Analysis, US Bureau or Labor Statistics

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