Stock market views in the week of 28 September = Trend
ANALYSIS
The outlook of the stock market continues to show a layout for US shares.
The S&P500 ($ Spx) Last week dropped 0.3%. The index is ~ 3% above the 50-day advancing average and ~ 11% above the 200-day advancing average.
All three indicators remain bullish.
SPX price and volume card for September 28, 2025
Performance comparisons
Energy ($ XLE) Last week better than it, and it was materials turn ($ XLB) To lead to the disadvantage. Adding insult to injury also fell materials in bearish bias; Healthcare fell on neutral.
S&P sector performance from week 39 of 2025
Low beta ($ SPLV) Last week surpassed a profit of 0.8%! All other sector styles struggled, with high beta ($ SHBB) The most down. Low beta climbed to neutral bias, while high dividends ($ Sphd) Stumbled at neutral.
Sector style performance from week 39 of 2025
Oil ($ Use) Almost 5% rose last week, while Bitcoin ($ 4) Under performed again. Those two assets also reversed their prejudices; Oil to Bullish and Bitcoin to Bearish. The dollar showed signs of life last week; Something to keep an eye on as a reinforcement dollar will influence the prices for assets.
Acti -class performance of week 39 2025
COMMENTARY
US Equity Indexes came overbough during the week, so last week’s approach volatility was not that surprising. Market participants quickly bought the dip, with the $ SPX support for the 21-day advancing average.
The third and final update for the GDP of Q2 came in at +3.8%, a full 50 basic points higher than the second estimate, thanks an increase in consumption.
PCE data of Augustus were in line with estimates and remain “sticky”.
| PCE (J/Y) | Really | Prior | Expected |
| Head | +2.7% | +2.6% | +2.7% |
| Core | +2.9% | +2.9% | +2.9% |
This week are employment data (Jolts, NFP) and ISM data. And there is the possible closure of the US government, unless the congress can pass on the necessary accounts of loans to keep federal agencies financed … which seems unlikely.
The best for your week!
PS If you find this research useful, tell a friend.
If you don’t, tell an enemy.
Sources: Bloomberg, CNBC, Federal Reserve Bank or St. Louis, Hedgeye, Stockcharts.com, Tradingconics.com, US Bureau or Economic Analysis, US Bureau or Labor Statistics, Tradingconics.com
Safe Investing, LLC is an independent investment investigation and online financial media company. Use of Invest Safely, LLC and all other products available via Invest-Safely.com is subject to our service conditions and privacy policy.
No recommendation to buy or sell security
#Stock #market #forecast #September