Ripple Price Analysis: XRP Charts Flashing Warning Signs Against USD and BTC

XRP continues to trade in a corrective environment following the sharp recovery earlier this month. Against USDT, the asset has stabilized above the highest demand region while failing to regain the broader distribution zone.

Compared to Bitcoin, XRP remains in a structural downtrend and underperformance has resumed after a brief spike at resistance. Until the BTC pair can maintain a higher low and recover above the major moving averages, relative strength continues to favor Bitcoin over XRP.

Ripple Price Analysis: The USDT Pair

On the daily XRP/USDT chart, the price recently bounced off the $1.80 support band and rose to the $2.40 supply zone, where it met the declining 100-day moving average and is still well below the 200-day moving average near the upper part of that resistance block.

The rejection of this confluence, along with a cooling daily RSI following an overbought push, indicates that the market has moved from momentum to consolidation or corrective pullback rather than a confirmed trend reversal.

In the short term, the $2.00 region now acts as the first major pivot; Staying above it would maintain a constructive upper-low structure and leave open the prospect of another attempt at $2.40 and, later, a test of the 200-day moving average. On the other hand, a daily close below around $2.00 would signal that selling pressure is regaining control and increasing the likelihood of a deeper retracement towards the $1.80 demand zone, where the previous base of the rally was formed.

The BTC pair

The daily XRP/BTC pair shows a clear rejection of the 2,400–2,500 sats resistance band, which coincides with the main 200-day moving average and an earlier distribution zone. After that failed breakout, the price has turned lower and is now trading around the 2,150 sats area, with the daily RSI transitioning from a local peak. This behavior is typical of continuation within an existing downtrend, with rallies in the moving averages repeatedly attracting supply.

If current weakness continues, the next notable technical area is around 2,000 sats. Only a sustained recovery above the 2,400 sats region, coupled with a break-and-hold above the daily moving averages, would indicate a material shift in relative strength and open the way for a larger mean-reversion phase in favor of XRP versus Bitcoin.