Retail investors seem to load Bitcoin, even if large Ethereum holders considerably increase their stock.
This shows a clear divergence in market behavior.
Diverging strategies
Data on chains shared by cryptoquant to show That the 7-day advancing average of Bitcoin inflow from short-term holders (STHS) to Binance rose from around 10,000 BTC to more than 36,000 BTC towards the end of July. This dramatic increase in exchange deposits usually indicates an intention to sell, especially when prices have recently risen.
The timing is in line with the Bitcoin meeting at local highlights, which led to win profit to lock profit instead of retaining potential volatility. This eventually led to a pullback near $ 114k on August 1.
On the other hand, whale behavior around Ethereum indicated a long -term bullish prospect. On July 31, whale portfolios were observed with more than $ 900 million in ETH from centralized fairs. Such large -scale activities are often interpreted as accumulation, whereby whales move assets to cold storage to keep up.
These opposite flows, Bitcoin that runs in, Ethereum flows out, mark a strategic split retail BTC investors opt for outputs in the short term, while whales seem to position for future benefit in ETH.
This divergence unfolds against a wider macro -economic background. The recent decision of the US Federal Reserve to maintain current interest rates, although expected, has renewed the institutional interest in crypto.
However, retail investors respond with more caution. Their movements indicate the desire to risks, while larger players benefit from the macro-thoueliness to build long-term positions. The result is a well -known market dynamic – Retail sells in strength, while whales accumulate in silence.
This behavioral split is even more pronounced in investigating volatility trends and the option market.
ETH-BTC Volatility gap is getting bigger
In a statement to CryptopotatoLocation on the chain options distracting.xyz revealed that the volatility gap between Ethereum and Bitcoin is getting bigger. The 30-day volatility of ETH is now 30% higher than BTCs, an increase of 24% a month ago. This growing divergence reflects the renewed investor’s interest in ETH, fueled by the rise of essential essen companies such as ether machine and bitmine, as well as the 10-year anniversary.
In the meantime, a considerable wave of realized profit, of around $ 6-8 billion, saw at the end of July, indicating that institutions may risk risk prior to what is expected to be a turbulent third quarter.
The option market seems to tilt Beerarish, as evidenced by BTC 30 -day skewing, which turned from +3% to -1.5%. This means that Putten is now priced higher than calls and hints on a “strong demand for downward insurance, because traders expect a to -two -month -old price action.”
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