![Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Wednesday’s NHL game [1/21/2026]](https://i0.wp.com/cdn.cosmicjs.com/8af246a0-f6c1-11f0-bc47-598474447305-NHL_2025_107_TOR_DET.png?fit=%2C "Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Wednesday’s NHL game [1/21/2026]")
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers’ proven NHL model the Maple Leafs have a slight lead with a 54% chance of winning above the Red Wings.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday’s Red Wings-Maple Leafs matchup, including expected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Who Will Win and Cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we simulated the outcome of Wednesday’s NHL matchup between the Red Wings and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions.
Our independent predictive model provides the Maple Leafs have a 54% chance of beating the Red Wings.
According to our model, the Red Wings (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck linewhile the top/bottom With a total of six goals, the chance of exceeding is 58%.
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs Odds
We researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet type | Red Wings | Maple leaves |
|---|---|---|
| Puck line | +1.5 (-230) | -1.5 (+198) |
| Moneyline | +105 | -120 |
| Total | o6 (-120) | u6 (+100) |
All odds are correct at time of publication and are subject to change.
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs picks and best bet
After comparing our predictions with the best current opportunities, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, below are our best bets for the game:
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