Thursday Night Football in Week 10 of the 2025 NFL season is a showdown in the AFC West between the Las Vegas Raiders and Denver Broncos. On paper it’s a mismatch, as Las Vegas comes in with a 2-6 record, while Denver registers at 7-2.
Let’s take a look at my Raiders vs. Broncos Predictions.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos Odds
Moneyline: Raiders +390 / Broncos -520
Spread: Raiders +9.5 (-110) / Broncos -9.5 (-110)
Total: Over 42.5 (-118) / Under 42.5 (-102)
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos Best Bet No. 1: Under 42.5 (-102)
Denver’s defense is great and faces one of the worst offenses in the league. Unless the Broncos offense spirals out of control (which is unlikely), that’s a great recipe for the Under. The Raiders may not contribute much to the total at all. In two regular-season losses to Denver during the 2024 season, Las Vegas didn’t reach the 20-point mark once. The Raiders don’t look any better with Pete Carroll as head coach and Geno Smith at quarterback. They were shut out by the Chiefs a few weeks ago and have scored in single digits twice this year.
Meanwhile, the Broncos’ defense ranks No. 3 overall in the NFL, No. 4 in scoring, No. 6 in passing and No. 8 in rushing. The unit leads the league in sacks by a country mile with 40. Cornerback Pat Surtain II is sidelined with a pectoral injury, but that didn’t matter last Sunday against the Texans. During an 18–15 win, Denver held Houston QBs C.J. Stroud and Davis Mills to a combined 191 passing yards and had four sacks. Under is 3-1 in the Raiders’ last four overall and 7-1 in their last eight road games dating back to last season. The Broncos are 8-3 in their last 11 overall.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos Best Player Prop Bet: Geno Smith Under 212.5 passing yards (-114)
Smith wasn’t good in his first season with Las Vegas and isn’t getting any help from the running game, even though the Raiders used their 2025 first-round draft pick on former Boise State RB Ashton Jeanty. If opposing defenses can continue to put guys back in coverage and not worry too much about the run, Smith will continue to struggle.
The West Virginia product has been limited to 180 yards or less in four of the last seven games, including an awful 67 yards against Kansas City. Based on pass count alone, Smith’s numbers should be minimal again on Thursday. As big underdogs, the Raiders will want to run the ball as much as possible – to shorten the game, keep the clock moving and limit total possessions.
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