Props to NBA players today: Wednesday’s top props include Deandre Ayton [12/10/2025]

Deandre Ayton over 1.5 blocks (+175)

• Edge: 11.0%
• Probability: 47.3%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Spurs vs. Lakers (10:00 PM ET)

Our model found value for LA Lakers’ Deandre Ayton over 1.5 blocks. A probability of 47.3% gives this game an advantage of 11.0% with odds of +175.

Alex Caruso over 1.5 steals (+160)

• Edge: 10.5%
• Probability: 48.9%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Suns vs. Thunder (7:30 PM ET)

Alex Caruso’s steals prop shows a 10.5% advantage at +160 odds, according to our model, which projects him at 1.4 steals on the line above 1.5.

Jalen Williams over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 10.1%
• Probability: 48.3%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Suns vs. Thunder (7:30 PM ET)

The data highlights Jalen Williams’ value above 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 48.3% probability and a 10.1% lead at +162.

Stephon Castle stolen more than 1.5 times (+176)

• Edge: 8.9%
• Probability: 45.2%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Spurs vs. Lakers (10:00 PM ET)

Our model expects Stephon Castle to make 1.2 steals today, creating an 8.9% lead on the line above 1.5 at odds of +176.

Ryan Dunn over 4.5 rebounds (+134)

• Edge: 8.6%
• Probability: 51.4%
• Projection: 4.8
• Game: Suns vs. Thunder (7:30 PM ET)

Simulations indicate value for Ryan Dunn above 4.5 rebounds for Phoenix, with an edge of 8.6% at +134 odds.

Austin Reaves over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 43.8%
• Projection: 1.0
• Game: Spurs vs. Lakers (10:00 PM ET)

Austin Reaves’ steals prop shows a 7.8% edge at +178 odds, according to our model, which projects him at 1.0 today.

De’Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals (+151)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 47.3%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Spurs vs. Lakers (10:00 PM ET)

Our model projects De’Aaron Fox for 1.3 steals for San Antonio, creating a 7.4% lead over 1.5 with odds of +151.

Royce O’Neale made more than 2.5 three-pointers (+102)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Projection: 3.1
• Game: Suns vs. Thunder (7:30 PM ET)

Our expert modeling projects Royce O’Neale for 3.1 three-pointers, creating value on the line above 2.5 with odds of +102 and a 7.4% lead.

Dillon Brooks under 2.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 42.8%
• Projection: 1.0
• Game: Suns vs. Thunder (7:30 PM ET)

A 6.9% lead at the under 2.5 steals line makes Dillon Brooks a valuable play in Suns vs. Thunder, with our model predicting him for 1.0 steals with odds of +178.

Luka Doncic over 1.5 steals (+124)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 49.8%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Spurs vs. Lakers (10:00 PM ET)

Simulations here project Luka Doncic for 1.5 steals, creating a 5.1% lead at the line above 1.5 at odds of +124.

NBA Player Props Recap: Wednesday, December 10, 2025

A quick recap of today’s best props, ranked by our model as of 6:57 PM ET:

Conclusion

For December 10, 2025, our NBA prop bets include players like Deandre Ayton, Alex Caruso and Jalen Williams. Each pick is based on real-time data and advanced simulations, giving you clear and targeted betting.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If you use this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.