Prediction markets are signaling strong momentum for crypto legislation as Polymarket shows growing confidence that the CLARITY Act will become law in 2026.
The outlook comes as policymakers continue negotiations and industry leaders publicly comment on the future of digital asset regulations.
Opportunities increase following market and sector signals
Polymarket data shows an 85% chance of the CLARITY Act becoming law in 2026.
The odds jumped to 90% after comments from Brian Armstrong, who said the regulatory process was moving in a positive direction.
Traders responded quickly to the update and the prediction market reflected that shift.
The market structure is making great progress and I believe we will achieve a win-win-win outcome.
A victory for the crypto industry.
A victory for the banks.
And, most importantly, a win for the American consumer. pic.twitter.com/t0WM3XUZX4— Brian Armstrong (@brian_armstrong) February 18, 2026
Observers say the increased confidence comes from a period of active debate over the structure of the crypto market.
Lawmakers discussed stablecoin rules, exchange supervision and token classification.
Market participants continue to monitor these discussions, and data from Polymarket shows that traders expect progress in the coming months.
Prediction markets often respond to real-time information.
The recent move suggests that traders believe the current negotiations could result in an agreement that aligns banks, exchanges and policymakers on key elements of the bill.
Congressional activity could speed up the process
Bernie Moreno stated that Congress could move the proposal CLARITY Act April 2026 if ongoing talks lead to a final agreement.
He said discussions are continuing and lawmakers are reviewing proposals aimed at improving oversight and supporting market growth.
🚨 ODDS SIGNAL STRONG MOMENTUM FOR CRYPTO CLARITY ACT IN 2026
Polymarket estimates a ~85% chance that legislation for the market structure of Bitcoin and crypto; specifically the CLARITY Act; will be signed into law in 2026.
The odds rose to 90% after bullish comments from Coinbase CEO… https://t.co/oKqQWKlbZN pic.twitter.com/3Gqq92b521
— CryptosRus (@CryptosR_Us) February 20, 2026
The timeline provides a picture of how the legislative process may unfold.
Lawmakers have met with industry groups and financial institutions to refine language on stablecoin rewards and exchange obligations.
These meetings are part of a broader effort to create a clear framework that both sectors can support.
Negotiations remain active as policymakers review the technical details of the bill.
Stablecoin-related regulations have received the most attention, as banks and crypto companies have different views on reward structures and consumer products.
Lawmakers say the goal is to develop rules that reflect both innovation and market stability.
Related reading: Polymarket buys Dome to expand Prediction Market API
Stablecoin yields remain the main sticking point
One of the central topics in the negotiations concerns stablecoin rewards.
Banks have pushed for stricter limits, while crypto companies want the ability to offer flexible reward structures. This difference has shaped much of the ongoing discussion.
Lawmakers have said the issue must be resolved before the bill is introduced.
Stablecoin rules play a central role in defining how consumer products and payment instruments work.
The negotiations are aimed at creating a model that can work for both traditional financial companies and digital asset companies.
Despite the remaining disagreements, market confidence continues to rise. Polymarkt shows strong expectations that lawmakers will find a workable structure.
Traders seem to believe that the bill will rise once stablecoin reward rules are finalized.
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