Pharma is a ‘no-brainer trade’ for 2026, says Sandeep Tandon

Pharma is a ‘no-brainer trade’ for 2026, says Sandeep Tandon

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Amid growing churn in high-growth parts of the market, investors’ focus is shifting from momentum-driven themes to valuation comfort and liquidity. The fast-paced trade, once a clear favorite, is now showing signs of fatigue as newcomers prepare to crowd an already frothy landscape. According to Sandeep Tandon, CIO at Quant Mutual Fund, the recent underperformance of some popular Q-commerce stocks is part of a broader market adjustment rather than an isolated trend. “So I can’t comment on individual stocks because you know we don’t own any of these names and we don’t plan to participate in the upcoming IPOs either. So that’s the way I described this. All the names are part of a larger thesis. Let’s just say the real activity is in the US. And when people talk about whether it’s a bubble in the US, the answer is no. The bubble is actually here because the number of stocks or the opportunity in India was very limited and so there was limited opportunity has been an extraordinary flow of money and that is why these stocks are becoming much more expensive than the American or Chinese tech companies and that is why I want to avoid some of these names,” said Tandon.

He pointed out that while last year’s economic slowdown pushed capital to a limited number of high-growth companies, the environment is now beginning to turn. “Look, last year, when the economy was doing poorly and these so-called names were doing exceptionally well in terms of revenue growth, at least there was visibility into growth and money was being shifted. And now the reverse trend has just started, and it could gain momentum in 2026,” he added.Despite the cautious stance on busy themes, Tandon says his portfolio strategy is not about holding excessive amounts of cash. “No, we’re not sitting on a ton of money. We’ve deployed some of these names that I talked about in the sectors that we like, so we’re more interested in the legacy companies, the legacy companies that have been beaten down, that have underperformed the market, the valuations are attractive, and if they’re not in the hated area, they’re not definitely in the admired area,” he said.

He believes such ignored names could outperform as liquidity conditions tighten. “People don’t like some of these names, people don’t even want to discuss these names. So those are the names that I think will do better in 2026 and they are more liquid, they are safer,” Tandon said, adding that liquidity, safety and returns form the core hierarchy of his investment approach.


He highlighted risks related to the market’s microstructure, warning that rising impact costs and shrinking volumes are creating friction for investors. “Market impact costs have been around for almost a year and a half now and are still high, volumes are shrinking… if you want to get out there is a huge cost, if you want to build your exposure there is also a cost,” he noted.

On defense stocks, Tandon acknowledged the long-term strategic value of the sector but flagged valuation risks. “Defense as a space is absolutely very good… but the challenge of the sector is that nothing is very cheap, the price is experiencing extraordinary growth and it is already built into some of these prices,” he said, describing the space as a “buy on dips” opportunity rather than a new entry at current levels. He remains constructive but cautious on metals, citing global uncertainties. “The only challenge is that when you are in a very difficult global environment… there are a lot of things that don’t give you comfort to build a very sizable position,” Tandon said, adding that while not negative, exposure needs to be calibrated.

However, medicine stands out as his strongest belief. “Let’s understand, pharma, I always say we are in a similar situation as we were 20 years ago,” he said, highlighting India’s dominance in generics, US FDA-approved factories and expanding capabilities in CDMO, biologics and new therapies.

“I think these are the data points that give us a big lead over China and that is why we think there is no substitute for Indian pharma companies and that is why they will remain a bull thesis in the long run,” Tandon said, calling it a 10-year opportunity with limited downsides and meaningful upside.

Within financial services, he sees selective opportunities beyond PSU banks. “From a relative perspective within the financial sector, NBFC has done well… and another area that I have been highlighting for a while is on the insurance sector,” he said, adding that life insurance companies in particular are coming out of a neglected phase with improving fundamentals.

When asked to identify one clear sectoral bet for 2026, Tandon’s answer remained unchanged. “So, like I said at the beginning… pharmaceuticals is a no-brainer business,” he said. “My downside is protected, the global backdrop is constructive… this is a very simple transaction that we should participate in, we should remain overweight in the pharmaceutical sector.”

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