Based on updated simulations, Dimers’ proven tennis model predicts Jannik Sinner as the most likely winner of the match between Djokovic and Sinner.
This article provides more insight into Thursday’s match, including the best bets and picks.
Prediction Djokovic vs. Sinner: Who will win and advance to the final?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we simulated the result of Thursday’s Djokovic-Sinner men’s singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions.
Our famous predictive model provides Sinner has an 89% chance of beating Djokovic at the 2026 Australian Open.
Additional, Sinner has an 80% chance of winning the first set. This is also evident from the simulations Sinner (-7.5) has a 53% chance of covering the game spreadwhile the under 32.5 games has a 59% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Novak Djokovic vs. Jannik Sinner odds
We’ve collected the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet type | Djokovic | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +900 | -1163 |
| First set | +350 | -500 |
| Game distribution | +7.5 (-118) | -7.5 (-112) |
| Total games | <32.5 (-105) | u32.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at time of publication and are subject to change.
Djokovic vs. Sinner picks and best bet
After comparing our predictions with the best current opportunities, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, below are our best bets for the game:
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