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RB Bucky Irving Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Bucky Irving ranks third among running backs in PFF’s grades, establishing himself as one of the NFL’s best receiving backs. He’s now having a favorable matchup against a Dolphins defense that ranks 29th in receiving yards allowed per passing play to running backs.
Irving also offers value as a runner, giving him multiple paths to the end zone. While Sean Tucker has seen some work in the red zone, Irving should still see carries near the goal line. In a must-win game with multiple ways to score, Irving profiles as a strong touchdown bet.
RB D’André Swift, Chicago Bears
Swift ranks fourth among all running backs in yards before contact and now faces a 49ers run defense that ranks 26th in average yards before contact allowed. That profile has contributed to San Francisco having the worst success rate of any team in the second half of the season.
Swift is also a threat as a receiver against a 49ers defense, allowing the sixth-highest touchdown rate for opposing running backs, making him another strong candidate to find the end zone.
WR Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Miami blitzes at the fourth-highest rate in the NFL, which should create opportunities for Mike Evans, who enters the matchup with a 31.03% target rate against the blitz, third-highest among wide receivers.
Evans is also Tampa Bay’s main weapon in the red zone, with a target rate of nearly 30% inside the 10-yard line. In a favorable matchup and a must-win game, expect Baker Mayfield to lean heavily on Evans, giving him a great opportunity to score.
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