NFL Week 13 Recap: Instant Fantasy Football Tips from Giants-Patriots Monday Night Football

• Devin Singletair becomes an obvious purpose of an exemption thread: Tyrone Tracy Jr. suffered a hip injury in the fourth quarter, which could lead to Singletary playing more than 70% of his team’s offensive snaps in the future – in some very favorable matchups.

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New York Giants @ New England Patriots

Rhamundre Stevenson starts for the Patriots: TreVeyon Henderson has been the starting running back for New England in each of the past four games.

New England started the season with a three-man rotation between Stevenson, Henderson and Antonio Gibson. Gibson suffered a season-ending injury, which seemed to open the door for both Stevenson and Henderson to see more playing time, but instead Stevenson played over 70% of the snaps from weeks 6 through 8. Stevenson missed weeks 9–11 due to injury, during which Henderson made several big plays, running 47 times for 264 yards and four touchdowns, while catching 10 passes for 66 yards and a touchdown.

Stevenson returned last week, but Henderson returnedMained the starter. Stevenson’s main role was as a third-down back. Henderson ran 18 times for 66 yards and caught three passes for 15 yards. He was held under 4.0 yards per carry in three of his four games as a starter.

This week, Stevenson was back in charge in all situations. Henderson rotated more often than in weeks 6–8, but this still marked a significant drop for him. Henderson averaged more yards per carry, while Stevenson was more effective as a receiver, aided by 36 yards receiving.

Next week the Patriots will have their bye and close out the fantasy season against the Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens and New York Jets. The Bills and Jets are among the top five teams in allowing fantasy points to running backs. Henderson is no longer a top-10 must-start option, but he can likely remain in fantasy lineups with those matchups. This also makes Stevenson a potential fantasy starter in those games.

Stefon Diggs plays a smaller role: The former All-Pro wide receiver played fewer than 50% of his team’s snaps for the second straight game.

The Patriots have remained relatively healthy at wide receiver this season, other than Kayshon Boutte missing a few games. They used a heavy rotation at the position through the first nine weeks, with Boutte playing 66.6% of the snaps, Mack Hollins 60.9%, Diggs 55.4%, DeMario Douglas 30.3% and Kyle Williams 20.9%. The first four receivers all played more than 50% of the snaps with 11 men, while Boutte and Hollins led the way with 12 men. Diggs played the second-most snaps in 11 personnel at 78.2% and the third-most snaps in two-receiver sets at 41.9%.

Boutte returned last week and New England changed its wide receiver strategy. Hollins and Boutte both saw their roles increase, each playing more than 80% of the snaps. That included both playing more than 94% of snaps at 11 personnel and at least 87% at 12 personnel. As a result, Diggs played 78.4% of the snaps on 11 personnel, but only one snap on 12 personnel.

This week he played more in 12 staff, but was subbed out more in 11 staff than in any other game this season. Douglas was the one running with Diggs. While Diggs entered the week with a 2.35 lead in yards per route, Douglas wasn’t far behind at 2.20, and Douglas’ separation numbers have been more impressive this season. Douglas closed the YPRR gap with three receptions for 33 yards, while Diggs caught three passes for 26 yards.

The Patriots have a bye week and then two favorable games in their final three games, but it will be very difficult to trust Diggs in those games given his current role on offense.

Monitor Tyrone Tracy Jr.‘s health: Tracy suffered a hip injury in the fourth quarter and did not return.

Tracy has been the Giants’ leading rusher over the past four weeks since Cam Skattebo suffered a season-ending injury. He has played 59.5% of the snaps, while Devin Singletary has played 40.8%. These trends held true on both early downs and third downs. Tracy had made 100% of the late-down snaps, while Singletary had 84.4% of the short-yardage and goal-line snaps. This has given Tracy more fantasy value thanks to increased rushing and receiving production, but the gap between them hasn’t been large as Singletary has scored two touchdowns on the goal line.

Tracy took all eight snaps on the first two drives, which was a change from the previous four games as Singletary had always gotten involved early. Tracy ran the ball twice for gains of 1 yard and 2 yards. Singletary took over on the third drive and had runs of 6 and 8 yards among his first three carries. That success earned him another drive, where he continued to string together solid runs. He finished the first half with nine carries for 40 yards, while Tracy only had the two early runs.

Tracy started the second half, but the Giants trailed by 23 points. He found some success early in the half, but it was too late for him to have a big game after the missed time in the first half. Singletary’s touchdowns this season have generally come on goal-line carries, but he took a direct snap for a 22-yard touchdown to open the fourth quarter. Tracy suffered a hip injury in the fourth quarter and was taken to the locker room. Singletary took over the lead for the remainder of the match.

The Giants have their bye week next week and close out the fantasy season with games against the Washington Commanders, Minnesota Vikings and Las Vegas Raiders. Singletary becomes an obvious target when Tracy’s injury turns out to be serious. He would likely play more than 70% of the snaps in those three games, and that’s a top-10 schedule for running backs over that stretch.

Various comments

• New England’s third-string running back and returner Terrell Jennings suffered a head injury on an early special teams play and was ruled out before halftime.
• Patriots wide receiver Efton Chism III was back in the lineup after being a healthy inactive last week. He played five games from weeks 6 through 11, playing primarily on special teams as a kick returner.
• Patriots tight end Hunter Henry was limited during practice Thursday with a toe injury.
• New England tight end CJ Dippre was unable to play due to a back injury, his second straight absence. New England only had two active tight ends, instead of finding a replacement for Dippre.
• Giants quarterback Jaxson Dart was active this week after missing the last two games with a concussion. He has been practicing a lot this week.
• Wide receivers Wan’Dale Robinson (ankle) and Darius Slayton (hamstring) were limited in practice to start the week, but were able to practice fully on Saturday.
• The Giants haven’t had much consistency at wide receiver from one week to the next, but this was the second straight week with Robinson as the top receiver, with Slayton and Isaiah Hodgins as the other primary receivers. The Giants used more 11 personnel than usual, giving both Slayton and Hodgins more playing time than in other recent weeks.
• Fourth wide receiver Gunner Olszewski suffered a concussion on a kick return in the second quarter and did not return.
• The Giants activated wide receiver Dalen Cambre from the practice squad for this game on Monday.
• New York wide receiver Jalin Hyatt was a healthy scratch. He was active last week, but did not play any offensive action. He has caught five passes for 35 yards this season.

Table notes

• Snaps include plays called back due to penalties, including offensive holding or defensive pass interference. These plays have been removed from the other three statistics.

• Objectives may differ from official NFL sources. The most likely discrepancy would be due to an obviously thrown pass, where the NFL could give the target to the nearest receiver, while this data does not.

• Carries are only possible on designed plays. Quarterback scrambles do not count toward the total number of carries in the game.