- A huge week for the Kansas City Chiefs: According to PFF simulations, the Chiefs have a 68% chance of making the playoffs with a win in Week 12, but that number drops to 33% with a loss.
- With the first overall pick, the Tennessee Titans select: According to PFF simulations, the Titans have a 39% first-place share in 2026.
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The current situation
Current AFC Playoff Standings
- Denver Broncos (9-2)
- New England Patriots (9-2)
- Indianapolis Colts (8-2)
- Pittsburgh Steelers (6-4)
- Buffalo notes (7-3)
- Los Angeles Chargers (7-4)
- Jacksonville Jaguars (6-4)
Current NFC Playoff Standings
- Philadelphia Eagles (8-2)
- Los Angeles Rams (8-2)
- Chicago Bears (7-3)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-4)
- Seattle Seahawks (7-3)
- Green Bay Packers (6-3-1)
- San Francisco 49ers (7-4)
The projections
It is of course unlikely that the play-off picture will remain constant for the rest of the season. And that’s why it makes sense to go to the projected playoff picture — the estimated odds PFF gives each team to make the playoffs.
The following graphs show the expected playoff odds for each team, along with the impact of the playoffs, i.e. how the playoff odds would change with a win or loss.
The logos show the current play-off chances. The points to the right of the logos indicate the odds after winning, and the points to the left indicate the odds after losing.
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