MSTR stock: 35% risk as MicroStrategy’s BTC purchases continue

MSTR stock: 35% risk as MicroStrategy’s BTC purchases continue

MSTR’s stock price continued its recent downward trend on Monday as volatility in the crypto market continued.

Summary

  • MSTR’s share price continued its strong downward trend this week.
  • MicroStrategy continued its Bitcoin accumulation strategy.
  • Technical analysis suggests that the MSTR could fall to $100 soon.

MicroStrategy fell to $136, a 75% decline from its all-time high. It then stabilized at $145, while Bitcoin (BTC) recovered some of its earlier losses and rose above $78,000.

The strategy also stabilized after the company revealed it had acquired 8,555 coins worth more than $75 million last week. It was the smallest purchase in three weeks.

The company now owns 713,502 coins, which it purchased for the average price of $76,052. At Monday’s lows, Strategy’s unrealized losses rose to more than $900 million.

Strategy has access to more money to continue the Bitcoin buying spree. It’s buying report showed it has access to more than $8 billion in MSTR stock to sell to raise capital. It also has $20 billion of STRK preferred stock, $4 billion of STRD, $3.6 billion of STRC and $1.6 billion of STRD stock.

Therefore, there is a good chance that Saylor will use the lower Bitcoin price to continue accumulation. He believes that Bitcoin will eventually bounce back and soar to a new all-time high.

History shows that Bitcoin always recovers when it enters a bear market. For example, BTC crashed by more than 35% between its high in January last year and its low in April. The price subsequently recovered to a record high in May.

Bitcoin also fell by more than 70% between its 2021 high and 2022 low, before rising from below $16,000 in 2022 to $126,200 in 2025. The most likely scenario is therefore that Bitcoin rebounds later this year.

Technical analysis of MSTR stock price

Strategy stock chart | Source: TradingView

The weekly chart shows that MicroStrategy’s stock price is in a strong downtrend. It has now crashed below the Fibonacci Retracement level of 61.8%, confirming the downtrend.

The Average Directional Index has risen to 33, the highest level since March last year. A rising ADX indicator is a sign that the downtrend is gaining strength.

The stock fell below all moving averages and the Supertrend indicator. Therefore, the most likely scenario is that the price drops 35% to $100 and then resumes the downtrend.

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