Based on the latest simulations, Dimers’ advanced college basketball model provides Illinois has a small lead with a 53% chance of winning over Michigan.
This article provides more insight into Friday’s game between Michigan and Illinois, including an in-depth look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Michigan vs. Illinois Prediction: Who Will Win and Cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we simulated the outcome of Friday’s NCAA basketball game between Michigan and Illinois 10,000 times as part of our men’s basketball predictions.
Our industry-leading predictive model currently indicates Illinois has a 53% chance of beating Michigan. Our predicted final score is Illinois won 80-79.
According to our model it is Illinois (+1.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spreadwhile the top/bottom total of 159.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Odds between Michigan and Illinois
We’ve researched the best men’s basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet type | Michigan | Illinois |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-108) | +1.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | -128 | +110 |
| Total | o159.5 (-110) | u159.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at time of publication and are subject to change.
Picks between Michigan and Illinois and the best bet
After comparing our predictions with the best current opportunities, we can announce our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, below are our best bets for the game:
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![Michigan vs. Prediction Illinois: Why Illinois is favored to win the men’s college basketball game [2/27/2026] Michigan vs. Prediction Illinois: Why Illinois is favored to win the men’s college basketball game [2/27/2026]](https://i0.wp.com/cdn.cosmicjs.com/12ccb7b0-13e9-11f1-b586-ff1506f2ff37-CBB_2025_117_ILL_MICH.png?fit=%2C)

