England can take a big step towards World Cup qualification by beating Latvia in Riga on Tuesday evening.
A win would take the Three Lions to 18 points from six games – a total that would see them qualify with four games to spare if Serbia fail to beat both Albania and Andorra this month.
England – said to have a 12.5% chance of winning next summer’s World Cup – will travel to Riga as heavy favorites to beat Latvia, who are 137th in the FIFA Men’s World Rankings.
Thomas Tuchel’s men are as small as 1/40 at some bookmakers, but can also be found at 1/16 if you look around.
Meanwhile, the best available price for a win in Latvia is 50/1, while the draw can be backed at 14/1.
Latvia vs England match odds
- Latvia 50/1
- Draw 14/1
- England 1/16
Betting tips for Latvia vs England
With England having such a big chance, much of the focus will be on the handicap markets.
England won the reverse fixture 3-0 at Wembley – a result that was a good reflection of the action based on the xG scores of 3.44 and 0.29.
If you want England to win by three or more goals again, you can get 4/6 on England -2, while England -3 can be backed on 6/4.
We think England -2 could be worth a penny, but would be reluctant to go any higher in the handicap betting. Latvia has only lost by three or more goals in five of its last 21 matches (3-0 against England, 3-0 against North Macedonia, 4-1 against Armenia, 4-0 against Turkey and 5-0 against Croatia).
However, these figures do not reflect the fact that many Latvian opponents are a lot weaker than Tuchel’s England. Last year they faced the Faroe Islands and Lithuania in the Baltic Cup and were in Level C in the most recent edition of the Nations League before being relegated.
England’s 4/9 clean sheet win also seems solid considering they have kept seven clean sheets in eight games, while Latvia have kept a clean sheet in 11 of their last 21 matches.
In other betting markets, Harry Kane is the 11/4 favorite to score first, while he is 8/13 to score anytime and 3/1 to score two or more goals. If he starts – he is expected to do so, despite missing Thursday’s 3-0 win over Wales by a blow – all these options look tempting.
Kane – who finished 13th in the 2025 Ballon d’Or voting – had five shots as England beat Latvia 3-0 at Wembley in March and has been in stunning form this season, with 18 goals in 10 games for Bayern Munich.
England captain Harry Kane is expected to start against Latvia in Riga on Tuesday
FootballBlog.co.uk’s top Latvia vs England betting tips:
- England wins by three or more goals: 4/6
- Harry Kane scores two or more goals 3/1
- England win to nil: 4/9
Latvia vs England correct score prediction
Based on the correct score market betting odds, bookmakers assume the most likely outcome is 3-0 for England, which is priced at 5/23. Meanwhile, 2-0 against England is 5/1, while 4-0 is 11/2.
A 1-0 win for Latvia can be backed at 90/1, while all other correct scores resulting in home wins are at least 150/1.
We agree with the bookmakers that 3-0 against England is the most likely outcome. That’s our prediction.
FootballBlog.co.uk’s correct score prediction for Latvia vs England: 0-3 (23/5)
Head-to-head record between Latvia and England
England and Latvia have only met once. March’s 3-0 win for England at Wembley was their first ever match against each other.
Latvia is currently 133 places below England in the FIFA Men’s World Rankings and, as an independent country, has only qualified for one major tournament. That was the 2004 European Championship, where they exited the group stage after losing to the Czech Republic and the Netherlands, although they did hold Germany to a 0-0 draw in Portugal.
By comparison, England have competed in 27 major international tournaments, winning the World Cup in 1966 and reaching the final of the last two European Championships.
Team news between Latvia and England
Kane sat out the win over Wales but is expected to return to Riga. The England captain missed Thursday’s match by a small margin, but all indications are he will be available to start up front.
Bukayo Saka scored England’s third goal against Wales, a strike that cemented him as Arsenal’s highest-scoring England international of all time. He must keep his place in the starting eleven.
For Latvia, in-form striker Marko Regza will likely take the lead again. He has scored four goals in his last six club appearances and is seen as the home side’s main attacking threat.
Janis Ikaunieks remains an important member of the squad, even though he has not scored for Latvia in almost two years. He is joint eighth on the country’s all-time international scoring list with twelve goals.
Latvia vs England predicted starting teams
Latvia (5-4-1): Sweden; Ciganic, Pigeon, Cernomordy, Melnik, Jurkovsky; Daskevich, Vapne, Zelenkov, Varslavan; Tsi.
England (4-2-3-1): Pickford; Konsa, Guehi, Stones, Lewis-Skelly; Rice, Anderson; Saka, Eze, Rogers; Kane.
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