Julia Polastri and Karolina Kowalkiewicz will collide on UFC Fight Night 261 on 11 October 2025. This fight has a rising Brazilian competition against a seasoned Polish veteran, with both looking for Momentum in the Deep Stroweight Division.
Julia Polastri vs. Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Julia Polastri takes this fight as a clear favorite, with opening money -line opportunities of around -400 to win, while Karolina Kowalkiewicz opened at around +330. Because those first lines were released on 28 September, the chances of Polastri were somewhat checked in her favor, up to around -420 in some books, as a result of the trust of gamblers in her youth and well -run skills. Play more figures Luckygambler.com.
Kowalkiewicz, despite her veteran -CV, has seen her line move to around +350, which indicates that she is seen as the underdog but still as a living dog if she can impose her pressure and experience.
Early lines suggest that Polastri ends in a decision at around -120 or by submission at +250, while Kowalkiewicz is in the vicinity of +300 per decision and by knocked -out out about +450. These props have hardly been stimulated since the opening and show uncertainty about where the fight will end.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz is a 39-year-old Polish veteran and former KSW flight weight champion. On 5’4 ″ and 115 LB she combines a Muay Thai Foundation with Krav Maga and ruthless forward pressure. Kowalkiewicz has participated in dozens of professional attacks, while binding for the second most fighting in UFC Strawweight history of women.
A former title challenge against Joanna Jędrzejczyk, she brings veteran Savvy, Stout Cardio and a well-rounded skills with strength to beat Work and solid ground defense.
Julia Polastri is a 27-year-old Brazilian who stands 5’2 ”and with a weight of 115 pounds. Fought from Team CWB, uses an orthodox posture and combines a high attempt with grab with grab. Polastri on average 5.57 significant bows per minute by 55 percent with 55 percent, 51 strikes per minute.
This matchup contrasts Polastri’s youth, volume striking and removal capacity with the experience of Kowalkiewicz, pressure on pressure and sustainability. Both hunters are hungry: Polastri wants to secure her first UFC victory since he came to the promotion, while Kowalkiewicz recovers himself after mixed recent results. The winner must break into the top 15, making this a crucial collision with important ranking implications.
Polastri can validate its status as a rising threat by sending an experienced veteran, while Kowalkiewicz can prove that the experience still beats the youth when the pressure is. With Polastri’s speed and struggling against Kowalkiewicz’s Iron Will and Clinch game, this meeting promises to be a tactical chess match.
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