To say there has been significant transfer activity in the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) this week would be an understatement. With FPL managers armed with five free transfers, more than 3.5 million moves have already been made on the 10 most in-demand FPL assets, with four days to go until the Gameweek 16 deadline!
Based on fixtures, form, injuries and bans, these players are currently experiencing significant transfer activity in and out.
| Player | Transfers in (around) | Player | Transfers out (round) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Foden | 811,817 | Bryan Mbeumo | 500,864 |
| Igor Thiago | 584,200 | Jean-Philippe Mateta | 428,524 |
| Bruno Guimaraes | 373,688 | Antoine Semenyo | 366,663 |
| Kiernan Dewsbury Hall | 313,130 | João Pedro | 344,266 |
| Matty Cash | 310,108 | Riccardo Calafiori | 297,108 |
| Trevo Chalobah | 253,749 | Daniel Munoz | 212,967 |
| Bruno Fernandes | 242,578 | Cody Agat | 211,047 |
| Declan Rice | 230,077 | Moses Caicedo | 201,864 |
| Jurriën Hout | 214,314 | God bless you | 180,916 |
| Harry Wilson | 179,280 | Gabriel Magalhaes | 165,302 |
Above: From Tuesday afternoon, the most bought (left) and most sold (right) players will go to Gameweek 16
But whether it is a good idea remains open to debate.
Here we share our thoughts on who to buy, hold and sell in Gameweek 16.
We try to avoid a repeat of previous weeks. For example, Jean-Philippe Mateta (£8.0m) was a ‘sale’ in our last column, so we won’t discuss it again.
PHIL FODEN
Phil Foden‘s (£8.6m) rich run of form continued into Gameweek 15, as he took his tally to five goals, one assist and 44 points in his last three games.
In the same period (as of Gameweek 13), Foden is top or joint top in shots, big chances and expected goals (xG).
He also created five chances for his teammates.
“Phil is incredible. He scores a lot of goals. When he is in this momentum and this mood, he is a gift and a diamond. He is top.” – Pep Guardiola on Phil Foden
With the freedom to roam, Foden has rediscovered his best form and as a result the price has skyrocketed, quickly from £8.0m to £8.6m.
While Crystal Palace could be tricky in Gameweek 16 (more on that below), especially after the midweek trip to Real Madrid, plum games follow against West Ham United, Nottingham Forest and Sunderland, all of whom are in the bottom six in terms of expected goals conceded (xGC).
As for Palace, they have only conceded one goal from open play in their last seven games, so the chances could be slim at Selhurst Park.
They also rank fourth for xGC and tied for third for key passes into the central zone, with their compact back five formation often forcing opponents to play around the outside, rather than through the middle.
But given his recent performances, plus the aforementioned game for City, there’s no reason not to buy Foden in Gameweek 16.
VERDICT: BUY
BRUNO GUIMARAES
Bruno Guimaraes (£6.9m) found the net straight from a corner on Saturday, netting another double-figure catch.
But is it worth buying, or have non-owners now missed the boat?
Remarkably, all four of his 10+ scores have arrived at St James’ Park this season. In fact, Bruno averages 7.7 points per start on home turf, compared to just 3.3 on the road.
The decline in production is supported by the following data:
| Minutes per | At home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Shot | 45.0 | 89.2 |
| Shot in the box | 135.0 | 178.3 |
| Touch in the penalty area | 45.0 | 66.9 |
| Opportunity created | 56.0 | 89.0 |
| Crotch | 51.9 | 76.4 |
Yet Bruno still has plenty to offer.
Newcastle United have failed to win any of the 10 Premier League games in which he has not started since his full debut, underlining his importance to Eddie Howe’s side. This is exactly what we FPL managers want as we approach the busy holiday season.
The Brazilian also takes some set pieces and has the potential to provide Defensive Contribution Points (DefCon), with a success rate of 25.0% on the season.
However, Newcastle are set to face rivals Sunderland at the Stadium of Light, followed by another away match against Manchester United in Gameweek 18.
Bruno could make the DefCons in these matches, but with Chelsea due to visit St James’ Park in between, Gameweek 19 (bur/CRY/LEE/wol) could be a better starting point for him.
VERDICT: KEEP, BUT DO NOT RUSH TO BUY
HARRY WILSON
Harry Wilson (£5.3m) has been in and out of the Fulham team in recent seasons; However, the Welshman has now started every league match he has been available for since early September.
He has also been in good form of late, with four attacking returns in his last three games.
Wilson, currently Fulham’s top scorer (four), has the potential to become a very important player for Marco Silva in the coming weeks, especially with Alex Iwobi (£6.4 million) and Samuel Chukwueze (£5.3m) will soon leave for the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON).
In terms of underlying stats, Wilson has fourteen shots (see image below) combined with six chances created in the last six gameweeks, so from an attacking point of view he is clearly doing well, even if none of his attempts are considered ‘big chances’.
It’s also important to note that Wilson’s next three opponents – Burnley, Nottingham Forest and West Ham United – are all among the worst three teams for key passes from their left flank in 2025/26, further boosting the Fulham wingers’ assist potential.
The biggest concern is that Wilson can remain injury-free, but with Fantasy managers armed with five free transfers this budget would make it possible.
“Harry Wilson is very focused in his season, not only with our football club. Also with his country, the way he performs there, the way he performs with us.” – Marco Silva on Harry Wilson
VERDICT: BUY
NICK WOLTEMAKT
Just outside the top 10 transfers this week is Newcastle’s Nick Woltemade (£7.4m).
The German forward became an instant hit on Tyneside following his move from VfB Stuttgart, scoring four goals and 32 points in his first five games.
However, over the next seven Gameweeks he was beaten by nine other FPL strikers, a period in which he averaged just one shot every 50.4 minutes.
Of course, there is a bit of utility potential with Woltemade, with his ability to drop between the lines and play on the left potentially underrated, but the trip to Sunderland on Sunday is far from the easiest of games.
If you factor in the games against Chelsea and Manchester United that follow, and Crystal Palace in Gameweek 20, the decision to sell Woltemade feels easier.
That’s without even thinking about the return of Yoane warned (£7.3m) on injuries and the replacements you could bring in, such as Brentford’s penalty taker Igor Thiago (£6.9m), who is set to embark on a run of top-level fixtures over the next 10+ gameweeks.
VERDICT: SELL
ANTOINE SEMENYO
After six consecutive blanks, Antoine Semenyo‘s (£7.6m) ownership is falling rapidly, with Bournemouth firmly at the bottom of our portfolio Fixture sticker during the next six Gameweeks.
But having retained Semenyo, is there an argument for keeping the faith for a while longer, in a bid to capitalize on the Cherries’ next two games against Manchester United and Burnley?
Burnley’s last clean sheet came in Gameweek 8, while United’s last shutout dates back even further to Gameweek 7.
Crucially, Saturday’s performance against Chelsea was Semenyo’s best in months.
A real livewire down the left flank, he finished the match with five shots and three chances created. He also had a goal disallowed.
So owners shouldn’t be in a rush to sell Semenyo, especially with Bournemouth’s underlying attacking credentials still solid despite poor results.
Based on xG, Andoni Iraola’s team should have scored five more goals in the last six gameweeks.
VERDICT: SAVE THE NEXT TWO GAME WEEKS
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