BMW Championship Bocking guide: 6 picks Our gambling expert Loves this week

Welcome to our weekly PGA Tour Gambling-Tips-Kolom, with picks from golf.com’s expert prognosticator, Brady Kannon. A seasoned golf game and commentator, Kannon is a host and regular guest on SportsGrid, a syndicated audio network dedicated to sports and sports betting, and is a golf betting analyst for CBS Sportline. You can follow Brady on Twitter on @LasvegolucerAnd you can read his choices below for the BMW Championship 2025, which will start on Thursday in Caves Valley GC in Owings Mills, MD .. Together with Kannon’s recommended plays, you also see data from Chirp Golf, a mobile app with both free play and daily fantasy golf competitions Where you can win cash and prizes with every round and tournament.

If you are a regular follower of this column, you can probably testify to what a strange season it has been for us in terms of play -offs.

It started with our selection of JJ Spaun (110-1) lost in a play-off from Rory McIlroy on the Players Championship. A month later, McIlroy again defeated us in a play-off when we were on Justin Rose, also at Triple figures (110-1) to win the Masters. Fast forward to the end of June when our husband, Chris Kirk (80-1) lost in a play-off at the Rocket Classic.

Last week at TPC Southwind I really thought we would come over the bump. We touch Hideki Matsuyama (28-1) for a winner here last year and I thought we would make it two seasons with Spaun (50-1). And again, we went to the dreaded extra holes. Strangely enough, it was McIlroy who got us against both Spaun and Rose earlier in the year, and now with McIlroy not in the field, it was Spaun versus Rose in the play -off, of which we naturally came to the losing end. A nice story to tell, a nice sweat in the piece in each, but not exactly the best results.

At Caves Valley and the BMW championship. It is round 2 of the 2025 FedEx Cup -Play -offs and we are to the top 50 players in the Fedex Cup classification. Again, this is a no-cut event and for the second consecutive week we are a short player because Sepp tighta has withdrawn due to a family issue.

Caves Valley is a Tom Fazio design and played host for this championship in 2021, but we can expect things to be very different four years later. The golf course was flooded with rain in the run -up to that event in 2021. The players played Lift, clean and placed four days and beat the track into a pulp. Patrick Cantlay and Bryon Dechambeau both ended no less than 27 under par in regulations. Cantlay eventually defeated the Deschambeau on the sixth Play -Off Hole to capture the title. Did I just say ‘playoff’ again? Au.

There are some persistent thunderstorms in the prediction this week, but nothing as we have experienced before. The temperatures will be 90s in the low 90s and little to no wind is expected. What is more important, this time the golf course will play like a par 70 unlike a par 72 as in 2021. Length was also added. Caves Valley This week will give a tip on 7,600 Yards and that is a beast of a par 70. Large Hitters dominated this tournament four years ago and I expect that we will see this again this year.

I looked at Stokes won: beating, approaching and from the tee. I also considered driving distance, birdies or better to win and the proximity of holes of 175-yards or more. Finally, we are on Bentgrass this week and that is the type of surface that I applied to my absorption of obtained strokes: wells.

Regarding correlated courses, I wanted to use long, driver-heavy tracks. Memorial Park in Houston (Houston Open) is logical, just like Quail Hollow and Torrey Pines, the home base of recent major championships, as well as the Wells Fargo Championship and Farmers Insurance open respectively. I looked at Pinehurst no. 2, where the US Open 2024 was held and eventually Olympia Fields, where the BMW championships 2020 and 2023 were recently played.

With only 49 players in the field this week, I played four boys against reasonable opportunities and then took a few stitches on two longshots for very little risk.

Ludvig Aberg (22-1)

It has been one up and down year for the great Swede, but he once grabbed his second PGA Tour victory at Torrey Pines when the Genesis Invitational was played there in February. He also finished the top 10 in two of his last three starts. Last week in Memphis, Aberg is in fifth place in the field for SG: off the tee and 14th for Rijnauwigitheid. He was also 12th in Pinehurst last June. I love the way his game is currently forming and this course should be his alley.

Cameron Young (30-1)

Here is another man who is a bomber of the tee – and lately he has placed beautifully. Apart from his very first tour victory two weeks ago, he finished fifth at TPC Southwind last week. He has been as high as 20th at Torrey Pines, 15th at Olympia Fields, and became second in Quail Hollow in 2022.

Hideki Matsuyama (38-1)

Just like Aberg, here is another man we were early in the season for a winner, but since then it has been a bit of a disappearing act. Although, it seems that the shape may return, because Matsuyama is completed the top 20 in each of his last four starts and has not missed a cut in three months. In the last 24 rounds he is in this area top 5 for SG: approach and in hole proximity of 175 yards or more.

Ben Griffin (40-1)

Griffin has been about as stable as they come this season with nine Top-10 Finishes, including two victories. He does everything well including length of the tee and well. In the last 24 rounds, Griffin 14th is in this area for driving distance and 19th for SG: Putting (Bentgrass). One of those top 10s came up Quail Hollow when he finished eighth at the PGA championship.

Taylor Pendrith (70-1)

Pendrithh finished fifth at the PGA championship in May in Quail Hollow, became fifth at the Houston Open in April and ended 16 in the US Open in Pinehurst last year. In his career he finished seventh, ninth and 16th in Torrey Pines. He is a big batter who gets greens in regulations and is in ninth place in this area for the vicinity of holes of 175-200 meters. He is one of our longshots, yes, but I believe that his game is absolutely logical for this course.

Thomas Detry (180-1)

The same with this guy, who, just like Pendrith, also has an excellent track record with a number of Big-Boy, driver-heavy golf courses and is also a great putter. Moreover, Detry is haunting a place in the European Ryder Cup team because he is currently 13th in the rankings. He has finished the top 20 at Torrey Pines twice, finished 14th in Pinehurst last year and also became second in Houston last season. Again, another longshot that would probably have to be priced closer to 120-1 instead of 150-1 or higher. Let’s cross our fingers this week and see if we can come across a payout instead of a play -off.

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