Horseplayers who are planning to bet that on Saturday $ 500,000 grade 2 Flower Bowl Stakes on Saratoga Race Course will be advised to keep an eye on it again.
The flower bowl is planned to take place 1 3/8 miles on turf. But there is rain in the prediction for Saratoga this week. If there is enough to dampen the peat course from “firm” to “good”, “giving” or “soft”, that can have a significant impact on the outcome of the race.
Two participants in particular can be affected. # 4 La and Ahana Would probably enjoy a yield course of the grass. She is a capable competitor at firm Turf-by aqueduct Last fall, she won the 1 3/8-mile, grade 3 Waya Stakes with a strong late load. But she got out of her skin when tackling turf in the 1/2-mile, grade 2 Glens Falls Stakes in Saratoga last month, dominating with 8 3/4 lengths with a career-best 103 Brisnet speed classification. That is easy the highest song in the Flower Bowl field.
On the other hand, #7 Be your best is a firm turf specialist who has won four graded stakes at distances from a mile to 1 3/8 miles, including the degree 1 gamely stakes. The Speedy Mare is a force to take into account on a sturdy turf, but she has completely failed a “good” course in the degree 1 Jenny Wiley Stakes Three Starts Back, tiring to end the last of eight.
So how should you bet the flower bowl? We will recommend two different strategies, one for when the peat is sturdy and the other for when the course comes up well, yield or softly.
In both cases we will take La Mehana at the top of the key. Her affinity for racing 1 3/8 miles and furthermore she should give her a lead on your best, regardless of the condition of the peat course. Be your best just as hardly held to win the 2024 Long Island Stakes with a nose, so 1 3/8 miles can be a little further than her best distance.
If the turf is sturdy, we will be the best at the bottom in a Trifecta, for which the top three finishers must be selected in order. If the course is damp, we exclude that we are best for mares and mares such as #1 snipers Queen” #2 Amber CascadeAnd #8 Beauty.
We also propose twice as much to bet ($ 40 instead of $ 20) if the course is damp, because that will increase our confidence in La Mehana.
$ 20 deployment strategy if the peat is sturdy:
$ 11 to win on # 4 Lahana
What to say at the gambling window: Saratoga, 10th race, $ 11 to win on 4
$ 1.50 Trifecta: 4 with 2.8 with 1.2,7.8 ($ 9)
What to say at the gambling window: Saratoga, 10th race, $ 1.50 Trifecta 4 with 2.8 with 1.2.7.8
$ 40 deployment strategy If the turf is good, it delivers or softly:
$ 22 th Way on # 4 Laohana
What to say at the gambling window: Saratoga, 10th race, $ 22 to win on 4
$ 3 trifecta: 4 with 1.2.8 with 1.2.8 ($ 18)
What to say at the gambling window: Saratoga, 10th Race, $ 3 Trifecta 4 with 1.2,8 with 1.2.8
Good luck and enjoy the race!
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