There’s a busy week ahead on the United States economic calendar as markets continue to digest the fallout from the US-Israeli attacks on Iran this weekend.
US President Donald Trump on Sunday provided details of ‘Operation Epic Fury’, declaring that the US will ‘avenge’ the deaths of Americans, that there will be more US casualties, that military operations will continue until ‘objectives are achieved’, and claimed that the entire Iranian military command is ‘gone’.
It’s not World War III, Kobeissi’s letter said, pointing to oil prices, which have already wiped out nearly half of their opening gap higher, and U.S. stock market futures, which have fallen marginally while gold prices have risen again. “Don’t panic. The dust will settle,” they say said.
Economic events from March 2 to 6
There are a lot of labor market reports coming out this week, which are what the Federal Reserve looks at when making its monetary policy decisions. The first major report of the week is the February ISM Manufacturing PMI data, released Monday and providing insight into the state of the manufacturing sector.
The employment data series begins Wednesday with the ADP February employment report, followed by initial unemployment claims on Thursday and the February jobs report on Friday, which will also include January retail sales data.
Friday’s jobs report comes after surprisingly strong job growth in January, potentially indicating positive developments in the labor market. The report is expected to show an increase of 60,000 jobs, according to according to a Reuters poll.
“We’ve seen a good jobs report for January, but we’ve also seen a very weak 2025 for the labor market, and so the question becomes: where do we go from here?” Kristina Hooper, chief market strategist at Man Group, told the outlet.
Main events this week:
1. US Futures React to Iran Situation – TODAY 6:00 PM ET
2. February ISM Manufacturing PMI data – Monday
3. February ADP Employment Data – Wednesday
4. First data on unemployment benefits – Thursday
5. Retail Sales Data January – Friday
6. February Jobs Report -…
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) March 1, 2026
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Crypto Market Outlook
Crypto markets are back in the red today after a positive Sunday. The overall cap fell to $2.35 trillion, wiping out weekend gains.
Bitcoin was rejected three times in the last 24 hours at $67,000 and fell to $66,300 during the Asian trading session on Monday morning. However, over the past three weeks, the stock has been trading sideways.
The Ether price could not stay above $2,000 and has fallen to $1,950 at the time of writing. The altcoins are mainly in the red with bigger losses for XRP, Solana, Cardano, Canton and Stellar.
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