Crypto -markets ended last week on a high note with a total capitalization of again $ 4 trillion, but Momentum decreased during the weekend.
Stock markets in the US reached record heights last week, because the markets are completely priced this week in a percentage per rate reduction of 0.25%. However, the labor market continued to indicate the weakness with a sharp jump in weekly unemployment claims.
On Wednesday, the FED will lower the rates for the first time in 2025 and a weak labor market ‘the fault’, said the Kobeissi letter.
Economic events from 15 to 19 September
The Retail Sales Report of Augustus is due on Tuesday, which is a measure of consumption and a broader economic sentiment.
The main event of the week is the FOMC meeting on Wednesday, which will probably see the Central Bank for the first time since December 2024. project A probability of 96.4% of a reduction of 25 basic points and a 3.6% chance of a larger cut of 50 basic points.
The FED has recently been clear that it is more focused on the weakening labor market than on persistent inflation risks.
“In the midst of the American macro illness and the recordrally of Gold, crypto-assets resilience and long-term hedging property demonstrates to inflation,” said Nick Ruck, director at LVRG Research.
“With aggressive tax policy and expected that the crypto cycle is likely to expand until 2026, both assets benefit from persistent macro -economic pressure. Assembly of stagflation can further support this dynamic, which strengthens the case for alternative stores of value while the FED weighs the interest decision of this week.”
Important events this week:
1. August data for retail sales – Tuesday
2. Decision of the interest rate – Wednesday
3. FOMC press conference – Wednesday
4. Fed Dot-Plot Projecties-Woensdag
5. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index – Thursday
6. Initial unemployed claim data – Thursday …
– De Kobeissi -Letter (@kobeissiletter) September 14, 2025
“We are worried that the September 17 -fed meeting, which delivers a 25 BP -Neee, could become a ‘Sell the News’ event, because investors are withdrawing to consider macro data,” wrote JPMorgan Global Head of Market Intelligence Andrew Tyler in a note.
On Thursday, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index and the initial unemployed claim data will see, but neither of them will probably affect markets.
Crypto Market Outlook
Now that the FED rate is largely priced, the markets are already starting to respond with the typical fall on Monday, because the total capitalization is shrinking by 1% to $ 4.13 trillion.
Bitcoin has been $ 116,000 twice in the last 24 hours, but was confronted with resistance there before he returned to $ 115,000. The active recovered on Monday morning in Asia in early trade to return to $ 116,000.
Ethereum was $ 4,700 before he withdrew somewhat at the weekend to act at $ 4,630 at the time of writing because it remains Rangebound.
The Altcoins were usually red with larger losses for XRP, Solana, Cardano and Chainlink.
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