2 worrying signs for Bitcoin (BTC) despite the expected rate reductions

Tl; Dr.

• Experts warn of a possible decrease in “sale” after the expected rate reduction of the FED, with scenarios that indicate a dip under $ 100k.
• At the same time, BTC Exchange Reserves reached a low-year low and remains the MVRV ratio of the Activum in a healthy range, which indicates limited immediate sales pressure and more room for growth before cycles touches.

Bulls, hold the champagne

September 17 is a long -awaited and important Date for the crypto community because later today the Federal Reserve will probably lower the interest rates in the United States. Countless analysts and market observers have previously described the event as one important Catalyst for the entire market for digital assets.

After all, lowering the benchmark will earn cheaper for money, what that will do potential Push some investors to riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies. This Could increase the prices, and many believe that Bitcoin (BTC) will be the biggest profit.

In theory this is the long -term perspective, but there may be some complications in the short term. Some experts recently warned that the upcoming FOMC meeting could lead to a scenario “Sell-the-News”.

The X user Ted for example, sketched Two possible results. The first includes a dump to $ 104,000 before reversing, while the second is a dive of up to $ 92,000 and later a revival of a new all -time.

The phenomenon is similar to the price drop of one special Assets immediately after good news is officially announced. This happens because many investors have already purchased the event in anticipation, and after disclosure some take a profit, causing a huge sales pressure. That said, people must remain alert today and maybe Avoid trade with high leverage.

The second bearish factor for BTCs short-term price performance is the recent activity of the miners. The popular X user Ali Martinez unveiled That those market participants have loaded more than 2,000 BTC in the last 72 hours. Developments of this type increase the circulating supply of BTC, which could be followed by a pullback If the question does not assume.

Some optimistic factors

Despite the aforementioned elements That can briefly place the brakes at the BTC meeting, others suggest that the bull run is not nearly over.

Cryptuquant’s data to show That the number of BTC that is stored on crypto fairs continues to fall and today reaches a new eight-year-old layer. This Signals that many investors have shifted from centralized platforms to self-qua methods, which reduces immediate sales pressure.

The market value for realized value (MVRV) also supports the bullish thesis. The ratio of the metric (which indicates whether BTC is high or low compared to what most people have bought it for) fluctuates in the healthy reach of 2-2.25 in the past month. According to Cryptoquant, values ​​above 3.7 praise tops indicate, which means that it has more room for growth during this cycle.