XRP is trading near $2.53 as analysts track a wedge pattern with breakout potential. Whale activity, support zones and partnerships in focus.
XRP is trading in a tight range after a recent pullback as traders wait to see which direction the next breakout will take.
At the time of writing, the token is priced at $2.53, up 2% in the past 24 hours, but still down 12% in the past week, based on CoinGecko’s data.
Pattern suggests two possible scenarios
Crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO be to a falling widening wedge on the map. Based on this structure, there is a 57% chance of a breakout to the upside and a 43% chance of a move to the downside.
If the lower outcome materializes, EGRAG mentioned a possible retest of the $0.50 area based on measured movement projections. On the other hand, a successful break above could take the price towards the $9 region.
They also referenced previous trades where some sold between $2.70 and $2.80, and XRP is now near $2.50 to $2.60. EGRAG noted,
“If you want to sell now, go ahead, no hard feelings… Don’t come back to me later and say you wish you had sold.”
The long-term structure still holds
Analyst ChartingGuy shared a monthly chart showing XRP still trading above the $1.61 support. This level corresponds to the Fibonacci retracement of 0.786 and a former resistance zone from 2021. While Ripple’s token recently failed to hold above $3.31, the Fibonacci level of 0.886, it continues to print higher lows.
Notably, the same chart shows potential future levels around $3.31, $8, $13 and $27, based on standard Fibonacci extensions. These levels can act as price targets if XRP maintains its current structure. Referring to the larger time frame, ChartingGuy said:
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$XRP is NOT bearish at all pic.twitter.com/ZZ3ILgSfaG
— Charting Guy (@ChartingGuy) October 14, 2025
Whale activity linked to October decline
As reported by CryptoPotatoMajor wallets started moving XRP to Binance in the first half of October. This followed a quiet period in September. The timing of these transfers corresponded to a 20% price drop, adding to the pressure during the decline.
Meanwhile, open interest in XRP futures fell sharply from $9 billion to around $4.17 billion. The move came as broader crypto markets saw forced sales and deleveraging of several major tokens.
Partnership announcement supports sentiment
Ripple confirmed a new partnership with Immunefi and launched a security testing program for the XRP Ledger. The test includes a $200,000 bug bounty, which runs from October 27 to November 24.
This announcement came as XRP slid through key levels, delivering a short-term boost in sentiment. Traders are now keeping a close eye on price levels as the wedge pattern approaches a potential breakout point.
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