The gambling market rarely remains overwhelmingly vulnerable.
Oddsmakers often adjust the odds to prevent the betting public from exploiting certain angles, especially when a bad team fails to cover the point spread for an extended period of time.
However, the Sacramento Kings may be an outlier.
They have the NBA’s third-worst record at 8-29 and also a league-worst mark of 14-22-1 against the spread (ATS). That is incredibly rare. Normally oddsmakers find a way to keep bettors from picking on the worst team, but Sacramento has been so bad. For example, the Indiana Pacers and New Orleans Pelicans have worse records overall, but are a combined 38-37-1 ATS.
Domantas Sabonis is their best player and has not played in almost two months due to a knee injury. That means their offense runs through a mediocre DeMar DeRozan and Zach LaVine, with Russell Westbrook and Dennis Schröder playing meaningful minutes. That’s certainly not a recipe for success in today’s NBA.
The Kings rank last in offensive efficiency and fourth-worst in defensive efficiency.
Sacramento visits the Golden State Warriors on Friday as 13.5-point underdogs with a total of 229.5 points.
If this game were played on paper, the Warriors would win convincingly. Their offense and defense are both far superior statistically, especially when Stephen Curry is doing well.
The Kings are also poorly coached with Doug Christie. On Tuesday, trailing by two points in its final possession against the Dallas Mavericks, the team made the wrong play, according to Christie. That was their sixth loss in a row, but during this skid they were able to cover the point spread for the first time.
Bet on the NBA?
The NBA is as unpredictable as any sport, making it the most difficult sport to bet on. The games are not played on paper or on a computer screen. However, I still see multiple paths the Warriors can take.
I have an ATS record of 87-76-2 in this post sports section and my next game is the Warriors -13.5 vs. the Kings (-110, FanDuel Sportsbook).
Why trust New York Post betting
Doug Kezirian is a contributor to the New York Post and has more than twenty years of experience in the gambling industry, including eleven years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He is also the rare personality who has documented success: a 14th-place finish in the 2023 Circa Million and the Las Vegas SuperContest ($37,000), two top-10 finishes in the 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58,000) and also made headlines with a $297,000 win at the 2021 NFL Draft.
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