Victorian confidence in Allan’s housing plan plummets during crisis – realestate.com.au

Victorians’ confidence in the future of state housing is waning and concerns are growing that the Allan government is not up to the task of solving the affordability crisis.

Young Victorians reveal they are making “impossible decisions” not to start a family because “they can’t find somewhere to live” and new survey data shows the wider community doesn’t believe the Allan government is treating housing as the crisis it is.

The state has the lowest rating in the country for the mix of homes being built and is recording the biggest decline in confidence that they will still be living in their homes next year.

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The latest Amplify Home Truths scorecard shows three in four Victorians believe the state is making very little or no progress in addressing the crisis, the worst outcome in the country.

Community confidence in building enough homes to address the state’s housing problems fell from 40 percent to 35 percent in the last three months of 2025.

Since the start of a National Housing Agreement plan to build 1.2 million homes nationwide, Victoria has built 69,840, about 87.9 per cent of what it needed at the time to meet its targets.

Research from Amplify shows that the proportion of Australians no longer feel confident about staying in their home in the coming year; the Victorians were the most concerned.

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Amplify is a non-profit research company and community-led think tank founded by Seek founder Paul Bassat and with former AFL head honcho Gill McLachlan on its board, and predicts the state will build 276,847 new homes by mid-2029 – a shortfall of 38,185 of the 315,033 needed.

Chief executive Georgina Harrisson said declining community confidence in the government’s handling of the housing crisis was caused by people feeling “run over, rather than being part of the reforms”, and that the other reason was growing concerns about poor fund management on major projects.

Following the investigation, allegations emerged that $15 billion from major project funds went to criminals, as well as an interest rate hike. Ms Harrison said confidence in the government would be even lower as a result.

She revealed that a Victorian told them their surveys included a Victorian who had made the “impossible decision not to have a family because I can’t find a place to live”.

Three-quarters of Victorians believe there has been little or no progress in increasing the number of homes built in the past three months.

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Their research also found that almost one in five think no progress has been made in tackling the housing reforms needed to build more homes, and a further 56.3 percent see very little improvement – ​​the worst score in the country.

More than 70 percent believe it is very or somewhat unlikely that enough housing will be built in the coming years to meet the state’s goal.

More than 62 percent did not trust that the government would take the right policy steps to improve the availability of housing.

While steps to improve planning outcomes in designated development zones were good, Ms Harrison said additional work to cut red tape in other areas would be important in the future – as would more community consultation, and that housing be treated as the crisis issue Victorians believe it is.

A greater focus on modular construction and 3D printing of houses would also be important.

Georgina Harrison believes that if the Victorian government doesn’t make more changes, they risk being held to account at the next election. Photo: Gaye Gerard.

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“The ultimate responsibility will come at the state election and these figures should be concerning to the Victorian Government,” she said.

“Confidence is at rock bottom across the country, but Victoria is particularly low and falling.”

Just over 20 per cent of Victorians surveyed were not confident they would be able to stay in their home for the next year.

Jacob Caine, president of the Real Estate Institute of Australia, has participated in previous events with Amplify and said without public support the government would not be able to achieve its ambitions.

“The reality is that solving the housing crisis requires support from the whole of society,” Caine said.

“If you have governments that are trying to ram projects and initiatives through without the support of industry… if you have a public that doesn’t believe in that, that will hinder or thwart the progress of these initiatives at every opportunity because they haven’t been consulted, then the government will still fail to deliver on its ambitions.”

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