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ATP Brisbane
Medvedev 1.37 v Nakashima
We expect to start at 8:30 am
Reliability score 7.5/10
Medvedev 2-0. Most recent April 2025, clay, 3 sets. He won hard in March 2023, 2 sets. The hard 12-month win rates are fairly even.
Medvedev had a 2 set win over Fucsovics in the first round. 2 sets win against Tiafoe in the 2nd round. He needed 3 sets against Majchrzak in the quarterfinals. Michelsen wins 2 sets in the semi-finals.
He reached the semi-finals in Shanghai 2025, semi-finals in Beijing 2025, quarter-finals in Washington 2025, semi-finals in Indian Wells 2025, quarter-finals in Dubai 2025, quarter-finals in Doha 2025.
Nakashima had a straight sets victory over Fokina as an underdog in the first round. Win 2 sets against Halys in the 2nd round. 2 sets win against Collignon in the quarter finals. Winning two tight sets against Kovacevic in the semi-finals.
He reached the quarterfinals in Tokyo 2025, semifinals in Chengdu 2025, quarterfinals in Washington 2025, 4th round in Miami 2025, 4th round in Indian Wells 2025, semifinals in Acapulco 2025, quarterfinals in Delray Beach 2025.
The twelve-month stats are slightly better for Nakashima in storage. The return stats are much better for Medvedev. Statistics for their last 10 on Medvedev’s hard favor in general.
Back Medvedev around 1.85 to 1.95 and remove the liability at 1.45.
Match prediction: Medvedev in 2 sets
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