“If the four-year cycle is still in play, BTC will fall to $32,000 in January,” one analyst predicted.
Others believe that the next twelve months will only be generous for the bears, and foresee a serious setback.
The bullish scenario
The largest cryptocurrency had its glorious moments in 2025, with its price reaching a new all-time high of over $126,000 in early October. However, the following months were brutal and BTC closed the year at around $87,000, marking an annual loss. In fact, this was the first time the asset ended in the red a year after the halving.
However, numerous analysts do not seem to worry about this and predict that 2026 will be much more successful. X user KAY noted the latest rebound to over $90,000, claiming BTC’s “Adam and Eve” pattern is at play. The chat resembles a short dump followed by a rounded soil formation. According to the market observer, BTC now needs a strong breakout above $94,000, after which “the bulls will be back in control.”
JAVON MARKS and Crypto GEMS were even more bullish. The former sees assets rise to a new all-time high of $126,200, while the latest expected it to sometime this year around $210,000.
Earlier this week Ali Martinez revealed that approximately 20,000 BTC had left exchanges in the past week alone. The stock’s USD equivalent is almost $1.8 billion, supporting the bullish thesis. The shift from centralized exchanges to proprietary methods reduces selling pressure, while higher exchange balances can be interpreted as a pre-sale move.
Big dump coming?
Some analysts are in the opposite corner, predicting that 2026 could be a devastating year for BTC. X user CryptoBullet said The asset’s 2025 year looks “very bad”, dismissing the possibility that it could reach a new peak in 2026.
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“If you think this wasn’t the Cycle Top and BTC will somehow go to a new ATH in 2026, you’re an idiot,” she added.
According to many experts, Bitcoin’s historical four-year cycle may no longer be valid. However, if the pattern remains intact, some analysts warn that a sharp price drop could occur as early as this month. X user Chiefy for example commented:
“If the four-year cycle is still in play, BTC will fall to $32,000 in January. Do you think you are prepared for this scenario?”
For their part, Crypto Caeser predicted that BTC could trade in the broad range between $80,687 and $98,880 for “a while.”
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